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UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
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DP SS Plessis vs StricklandMain Card · Middleweight ZW TS Weili vs SuarezMain Card · Women'S Strawweight TT JT Teixeira vs TafaMain Card · Heavyweight JC RB Crute vs BellatoMain Card · Light Heavyweight JM FP Matthews vs PradoMain Card · Welterweight GS JJ Santos vs JenkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight TN VB Nolan vs BorshchevPreliminary Card · Lightweight WC BB Cong vs BrasilPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight AT CT Topuria vs ThicknessePreliminary Card · Bantamweight RZ KS Zhu vs SteeleEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight JM KJ Micallef vs JoussetEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight QS AJ Salkilld vs JubliEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Jenkins over Santos · Featherweight Our fair value$2.59 Coolbet pays above fair $3.02
Where to back Jenkins best price · region · EV vs fair $2.59
US Bovada $2.95 +14%
UK 888sport $2.90 +12%
EU Coolbet $3.02 +17%
AU Unibet $2.90 +12%
Consensus73 picks · conf 76/99
Santos 36
37 Jenkins
BLCSTM pick Santos
How it endsmethod calls · Jenkins · crowd line
KO/TKO 11 $4.24
Decision 7 $6.66
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Santos 11-2 VS 14-4 Jenkins
5'9" height 5'7"
145 lb weight 146 lb
70" reach 68"
29 age 32
Orthodox stance Switch
4.7 strikes landed / min 5.0
59% striking accuracy 41%
4.8 strikes absorbed / min 2.0
47% striking defence 60%
3.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
52% takedown accuracy 48%
85% takedown defence 72%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market39% vs 33%
Consensus37 of 73 analysts
Sharpest angleJenkins by KO/TKO — 11 of 18 method calls
Recommendation Back Jenkins @ $3.02 · fair $2.59 +17% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jack Jenkins VALUE “my subscribers and I went with Jack Jake Jenkins” $2.90
MD mdminds picks Jack Jenkins VALUE $2.86
ML MMA Lewis picks Gabriel Santos VALUE “going have to lean towards Gabriel Santos”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Jack Jenkins VALUE
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Gabriel Santos VALUE
KM Knuckles MMA picks Jack Jenkins “I have NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 claw winning this by either a late round submission or he's just going to hold this dude down until he gets a decision win”
FM FATALITY MMA picks Jack Jenkins “I'm taking Jack Jenkins um I rate him pretty highly Gabriel Santos I think in his debut he looked really good Jack Jenkins gives me he's very complete he he can do everything very very well I think he's one of the better prospects on on the in so's Gabriel Santos though this is a hard fight to pick I'm going to take Jack Jenkins minus 225 is I see this fight being pretty close to be honest uh do not bet on this fight” $1.44
CM Coty MMA picks Gabriel Santos “I'm gonna say Gabriel Santos mixes it up gets the win here” $1.44
KU Kunath picks Jack Jenkins VALUE “give me some of that Justin TAA this week one of the better value plays in my opinion just because of that Boomer bust upside”
SL SUPER LUTAS picks Gabriel Santos VALUE “Vitória de Gabriel Santos mosquitinho em mais de um round e meio pagando também 1,68”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Gabriel Santos VALUE “Santos on the money line at minus 225” $1.44
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Jack Jenkins “Jack Zhang Weilikins is probably the most popular pick”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Santos11-2
W Jenkins Submission · R3 Feb '25
W Zha Decision · R3 Sep '24
L Onama KO/TKO · R2 Jun '23
L Murphy Decision · R3 Mar '23
Jenkins14-4
W Taveras Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Santos Submission · R3 Feb '25
W Burns KO/TKO · R3 Aug '24
L Mariscal KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23
W Emmers Decision · R3 Jun '23