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UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
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BEST PRICE We back Jousset over Micallef · Welterweight Our fair value$1.45 BetOnline.ag pays above fair $1.53
Where to back Jousset best price · region · EV vs fair $1.45
US BetOnline.ag $1.53 +5%
UK Paddy Power $1.44 -1%
EU Coolbet $1.49 +2%
AU Betr (AU) $1.50 +3%
Consensus56 picks · conf 71/99
Micallef 16
40 Jousset
bCHADM pick Micallef
How it endsmethod calls · Jousset · crowd line
KO/TKO 6 $4.85
Decision 14 $2.08
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Micallef 9-1 VS 10-3 Jousset
6'0" height 6'2"
170 lb weight 171 lb
77" reach 75"
27 age 33
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.3 strikes landed / min 7.7
56% striking accuracy 56%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 6.9
63% striking defence 48%
2.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.1
57% takedown accuracy 40%
61% takedown defence 100%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 0.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market69% vs 65%
Consensus40 of 56 analysts
Sharpest angleJousset by Decision — 14 of 20 method calls
Recommendation Back Jousset @ $1.53 · fair $1.45 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Kevin Jousset VALUE
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Kevin Jousset “my subscribers and I went with Kev Kevin Jousset” $1.42
ML MMA Lewis picks Kevin Jousset VALUE “obviously I'm going to have to go with the saf pick here in Kevin Jousset”
FM FATALITY MMA picks Kevin Jousset “Jonathan Micallef versus Kevin Jousset I'm going to take Kevin Joussetousset shocker wow holy [ __ ] hold on to your [ __ ] hats right confidence 5 out of 10”
CM Coty MMA picks Jonathan Micallef VALUE “I'm going to go with the dog here at uh plus 210” $3.10
KU Kunath picks Jonathan Micallef VALUE “I'm going to go with Jonathan Micallef reason being is because Kevin Jousset doesn't really put guys out”
DM DNASTY MMA picks Kevin Jousset “I got Kevin J winning this fight”
FR FREESTYLEBENDER picks Kevin Jousset “he's just like nah I'm going to get this one back and it's not even soon he's just like you know what let's go again”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Kevin Jousset VALUE “only only side i' bet on is plus 500 but not an official play” $6.00
PP Parlay Princes picks Jonathan Micallef “my pick is juet” $1.40
MM Menace and The Man picks Kevin Jousset “I think I'll lean towards Kevin Jousset”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Kevin Jousset VALUE “I'm going to be picking Kevin Jousset and I'm going to be making him a lock Kevin Jousset's winning this [ __ ] I don't give a [ __ ] yeah just going to win by decision uh mikf beat one [ __ ] random black dude on Contender series he's mid um I don't know he's inexperienced I guess just set chains with a good team”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Micallef9-1
W Gorimbo Decision · R3 May '26
W Elliott Submission · R2 Feb '26
W Jousset Decision · R3 Feb '25
Jousset10-3
L Micallef Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Battle KO/TKO · R2 Sep '24
W Kenan Decision · R3 Dec '23
W Crosbie Submission · R1 Sep '23