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UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
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DP SS Plessis vs StricklandMain Card · Middleweight ZW TS Weili vs SuarezMain Card · Women'S Strawweight TT JT Teixeira vs TafaMain Card · Heavyweight JC RB Crute vs BellatoMain Card · Light Heavyweight JM FP Matthews vs PradoMain Card · Welterweight GS JJ Santos vs JenkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight TN VB Nolan vs BorshchevPreliminary Card · Lightweight WC BB Cong vs BrasilPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight AT CT Topuria vs ThicknessePreliminary Card · Bantamweight RZ KS Zhu vs SteeleEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight JM KJ Micallef vs JoussetEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight QS AJ Salkilld vs JubliEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Strickland over du Plessis · Middleweight Our fair value$2.66 Betsson pays above fair $3.00
Where to back Strickland best price · region · EV vs fair $2.66
US BetRivers $2.85 +7%
UK Grosvenor $2.85 +7%
EU Betsson $3.00 +13%
AU Unibet $2.85 +7%
Consensus206 picks · conf 99/99
du Plessis 111
95 Strickland
TMbcBO pick du Plessis
How it endsmethod calls · Strickland · crowd line
KO/TKO 11 $7.75
Submission 1 $85.24
Decision 20 $4.26
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
du Plessis 23-3 VS 30-7 Strickland
6'1" height 6'1"
185 lb weight 185 lb
76" reach 76"
32 age 35
Switch stance Orthodox
4.9 strikes landed / min 5.8
53% striking accuracy 47%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
58% striking defence 58%
3.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
45% takedown accuracy 40%
50% takedown defence 78%
0.9 submissions / 15 min 0.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market38% vs 33%
Consensus95 of 206 analysts
Sharpest angleStrickland by Decision — 20 of 32 method calls
Recommendation Back Strickland @ $3.00 · fair $2.66 +13% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
EM Elijah House MMA picks Sean Strickland VALUE “I'm going to be making last minute prediction on UC 312 NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 two plus versus Sean Strickland 2 also be going over the Coman event”
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Sean Strickland VALUE “I'm going with Sean Strickland”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Sean Strickland “I'm taking Sean Strickland”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Dricus du Plessis “my subscribers and I went with d dupes” $1.48
MD mdminds picks Sean Strickland VALUE $2.76
ML MMA Lewis picks Dricus du Plessis “so yeah con look past Dricus du Plessis here I think he's just that guy”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Sean Strickland VALUE $1.46
TS The Open Mat Show picks Sean Strickland “I'm going to be choosing NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 for the main event probably by finish in the third round.”
TC The W.A.D.E. Concept picks Dricus du Plessis “Dricus du Plessis won the first fight and I things you have Dricus du Plessis again it's the moments that Dricus du Plessis started to find Dricus du Plessis already did the first time around I major keys for Dricus du Plessis because he won”
ES etoft21 sports picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE “I'm taking Dricus du Plessis”
IF Inside Fighting picks Dricus du Plessis “then Dricus du Plessis is going to get his hand raised at the end of it”
JC Joan's MMA Corner picks Sean Strickland “I'm going Sean Strickland”
Recent form last five, most recent first
du Plessis23-3
L Chimaev Decision · R5 Aug '25
W Strickland Decision · R5 Feb '25
W Adesanya Submission · R4 Aug '24
W Strickland Decision · R5 Jan '24
W Whittaker KO/TKO · R2 Jul '23
Strickland30-7
W Chimaev Decision · R5 May '26
W Hernandez KO/TKO · R3 Feb '26
L Plessis Decision · R5 Feb '25
W Costa Decision · R5 Jun '24
L Plessis Decision · R5 Jan '24