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Liam Picks Fights
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · breakdown

UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg | First Look

LF Liam Picks Fights54% hit
26 months ago 1W–4L · -1.6u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
SE Steve Erceg v Alexandre Pantoja MONEYLINE LOST
“I think he's probably the side”
Line since pick CLV +18%
◆ entry$3.08 close$2.60
entry: PointsBet (AU) · best in any region at publish
JA José Aldo v Jonathan Martinez MONEYLINE WON
“I think that's the difference we're gonna see on Saturday night”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.35 close$2.35
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
VP Vitor Petrino v Anthony Smith PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I think it's patrino probably by round two knockout”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.20 close$1.20
Petrino’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
IP Ihor Potieria v Michel Pereira MONEYLINE LOST
“I am excited to see Ihor Potieria down in this middleweight class”
Line since pick CLV +6%
◆ entry$6.60 close$6.25
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
PC Paul Craig v Caio Borralho MONEYLINE LOST
No specific rationale provided in the transcript for this fight, but included as part of the full card analysis.
Line since pick CLV −5%
◆ entry$5.89 close$6.20
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish