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UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pereira v Potieria Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus41 picks · conf 62/99
Pereira 35
6 Potieria
HHPPFA pick Pereira
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pereira 32-14 VS 20-8 Potieria
6'1" height 6'3"
186 lb weight 188 lb
73" reach 75"
32 age 30
Orthodox stance Southpaw
5.5 strikes landed / min 4.6
49% striking accuracy 50%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
59% striking defence 50%
1.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
59% takedown accuracy 18%
59% takedown defence 66%
1.9 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Michel Pereira “I'm going to go with Michel Pereira every single one of them Michel Pereira with Michel Pereira as well I feel like Michel Pereira is GNA knock this scares me man”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Michel Pereira “I'm gonna I'm going to pick Michel Pereira”
FI FightDudes picks Michel Pereira VALUE “give me Kyle Balo Michel Pereira”
FF Fightin With Friendz picks Michel Pereira VALUE “I'm going to go with per for this”
CZ Comedian Black Zeus picks Michel Pereira “I got Michel Pereira”
WP We Want Picks picks Michel Pereira VALUE “I think Michel Pereira wins and wins inside the distance”
MN Mayo Media Network picks Michel Pereira VALUE “I'm going with Michel Michel Pereira at 9.6k” $1.17
WP We Want Picks picks Michel Pereira VALUE “I have one unit on him at minus 164” $1.61
CC Chronic Combat Conversations picks Michel Pereira “I'm going KY bajayo” $1.17
IP It's Time - UFC Picks picks Ihor Potieria VALUE “I think Michelle's Gonna Keep history going at 185 I think there's a good chance he gets him out of round one I really do”
HA Harry1of1 picks Michel Pereira “Mikel Pereira gets it done with ease for me”
SD Split Decision picks Michel Pereira “I got Michel Pereira winning this fight”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pereira32-14
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Reese Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Daukaus KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Hernandez KO/TKO · R5 Oct '24
Potieria20-8
L Tulio KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
L Almeida Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Pereira Submission · R1 May '24
W Bryczek Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Bellato KO/TKO · R2 Dec '23