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Borralho vs CraigMain Card · Middleweight
JB
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Brito vs ShorePreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Lucindo vs KowalkiewiczPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Orolbai vs BrenerPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Klose vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Ruffy vs MullarkeyEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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Barbosa vs KareckaitėEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Ruffy v Mullarkey
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Ruffy 13-2
VS
18-8 Mullarkey
5'11"
height
6'0"
155 lb
weight
156 lb
75"
reach
74"
30
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.5
strikes landed / min
4.4
49%
striking accuracy
46%
2.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.5
49%
striking defence
53%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
2.3
30%
takedown accuracy
34%
69%
takedown defence
78%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Maurício Ruffy
“go with Maurício Ruffy I think he gets it done”
The Rambling Dad picks Maurício Ruffy
“go with Maurício Ruffy I think he gets it done”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Jamie Mullarkey
“I'm goingon to go Jamie Mullarkey just Jamie Mullarkey I'm gonna throw one out there Jamie Mullarkey um anyway wins anyway”
The MMA-Holes picks Jamie Mullarkey
“I'm goingon to go Jamie Mullarkey just Jamie Mullarkey I'm gonna throw one out there Jamie Mullarkey um anyway wins anyway”
FO
ForTheScrappers picks Jamie Mullarkey VALUE
“I think I got my dude Jamie Mullarkey on this one man”
$2.85
ForTheScrappers picks Jamie Mullarkey VALUE
“I think I got my dude Jamie Mullarkey on this one man”
$2.85
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“Maurício Ruffy is making his UFC debut minus 213 to win and Maurício Ruffyfy projects very very well”
$1.47
Mayo Media Network picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“Maurício Ruffy is making his UFC debut minus 213 to win and Maurício Ruffyfy projects very very well”
$1.47
IP
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I've got ruffy by knockout”
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I've got ruffy by knockout”
EP
Ebays Fight Predictions picks Maurício Ruffy
“I think you got to go ruy I think he he's uh he's going to win this fight”
Ebays Fight Predictions picks Maurício Ruffy
“I think you got to go ruy I think he he's uh he's going to win this fight”
HA
Harry1of1 picks Maurício Ruffy
“I'm picking Macio rufy to get this one done”
Harry1of1 picks Maurício Ruffy
“I'm picking Macio rufy to get this one done”
GM
GC MMA picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“this has got Maurício Ruffy a [ __ ] Locker this week I guys I'm going to pop it up right now look at [ __ ] Jam Malarkey he just looks like he looks [ __ ] like there's no other way to say it boys if you think Jamie Mullarkey is winning this fight that's a whole lot of malarkey that's a whole bunch of malarkey he's not winning this”
GC MMA picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“this has got Maurício Ruffy a [ __ ] Locker this week I guys I'm going to pop it up right now look at [ __ ] Jam Malarkey he just looks like he looks [ __ ] like there's no other way to say it boys if you think Jamie Mullarkey is winning this fight that's a whole lot of malarkey that's a whole bunch of malarkey he's not winning this”
DM
Daredevil MMA picks Maurício Ruffy
“we're going to go Mauricio here we're going to go with all three Brazilians in a row which sounds like a [ __ ] horrible idea because if you know events in Brazil none of the Brazilians win it feels like but Jamie Malarkey is coming off that horrific knockout loss to naar has n nasrat hack prass oh my [ __ ] god and uh Mauricio's got on 100% finish L rate 100% knockout or TKO rate uh so I think he's just kind of the safe Choice”
Daredevil MMA picks Maurício Ruffy
“we're going to go Mauricio here we're going to go with all three Brazilians in a row which sounds like a [ __ ] horrible idea because if you know events in Brazil none of the Brazilians win it feels like but Jamie Malarkey is coming off that horrific knockout loss to naar has n nasrat hack prass oh my [ __ ] god and uh Mauricio's got on 100% finish L rate 100% knockout or TKO rate uh so I think he's just kind of the safe Choice”
PR
Pub Sports Radio picks Jamie Mullarkey
“Jamie Jamie Mullarkey”
Pub Sports Radio picks Jamie Mullarkey
“Jamie Jamie Mullarkey”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ruffy13-2
W
Chandler
Jun '26
W
Fiziev
Feb '26
L
Denis
Sep '25
W
Green
Mar '25
W
Llontop
Nov '24
Mullarkey18-8
L
Salkilld
Feb '26
W
Bedoya
Sep '25
L
Ruffy
May '24
L
Haqparast
Dec '23
W
Makdessi
Sep '23