UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
CL
Caolán Loughran
v Angel Pacheco
MONEYLINE
WON
Caolán Loughran
v Angel Pacheco
MONEYLINE
WON
“the odds probabilities Point towards a confident 72% probability of victory for kale and lochran”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.30
→
close$1.29
entry: Betr (AU) · best in any region at publish
JM
Jacob Malkoun
v Andre Petroski
MONEYLINE
WON
Jacob Malkoun
v Andre Petroski
MONEYLINE
WON
“my final prediction just slightly higher than the weighted prediction is that Jacob Malkoun has a 58% chance of winning”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.47
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
KN
Kyle Nelson
v Bill Algeo
MONEYLINE
WON
Kyle Nelson
v Bill Algeo
MONEYLINE
WON
“my final prediction predicts Victoria dudakova gets the job done with a very narrow 50.4% probability”
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$3.00
→
close$3.15
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
IA
Ibo Aslan
v Anton Turkalj
MONEYLINE
WON
Ibo Aslan
v Anton Turkalj
MONEYLINE
WON
“oan gets it done here and he finishes Anton turge”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.82
→
close$1.82
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
DB
Dennis Buzukja
v Connor Matthews
MONEYLINE
WON
Dennis Buzukja
v Connor Matthews
MONEYLINE
WON
“I predict Dennis bazuca will get the job done here”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.83
→
close$1.87
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
JA
Julio Arce
v Herbert Burns
MONEYLINE
WON
Julio Arce
v Herbert Burns
MONEYLINE
WON
“my final prediction which is slightly higher than the weighted predictions is that Julio ARS actually has a 74% probability of defeating Harbor Burns”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.27
→
close$1.29
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
LG
Loopy Godinez
v Virna Jandiroba
MONEYLINE
LOST
Loopy Godinez
v Virna Jandiroba
MONEYLINE
LOST
“my final prediction also aligns with this prediction I think that's a fair assessment given God's recent success”
Line since pick
—
no market data captured for this fight
JE
Jamall Emmers
v Nate Landwehr
MONEYLINE
LOST
Jamall Emmers
v Nate Landwehr
MONEYLINE
LOST
“my final prediction gives emers a slightly more confident prediction at 59%”
Line since pick
CLV −7%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.61
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
NL
Nate Landwehr
v Jamall Emmers
MONEYLINE
WON
Nate Landwehr
v Jamall Emmers
MONEYLINE
WON
“my final prediction is slightly lower than the weighted models and I say that Jani has a 66% probability of defeating mck”
Line since pick
CLV +7%
◆ entry$2.86
→
close$2.68
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
BA
Bill Algeo
v Kyle Nelson
MONEYLINE
LOST
Bill Algeo
v Kyle Nelson
MONEYLINE
LOST
“my final prediction is similar at 66% probability for Bill Algeo to win”
Line since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.44
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −8%
◆ entry$1.41
→
close$1.53
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$1.37
→
close$1.44
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish

