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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Buzukja v Matthews Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus43 picks · conf 64/99
Buzukja 24
19 Matthews
PFBMCM pick Buzukja
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Buzukja 12-5 VS 7-2 Matthews
5'9" height 5'8"
155 lb weight 145 lb
70" reach 71"
28 age 34
Switch stance Switch
4.2 strikes landed / min 5.3
43% striking accuracy 44%
4.8 strikes absorbed / min 6.2
48% striking defence 56%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 3.0
27% takedown accuracy 53%
75% takedown defence 50%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Connor Matthews “I'll pick Matthews to win”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Connor Matthews VALUE “Matthews is going to be the pick he is the underdog I picked a few underdogs in this”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Connor Matthews VALUE “I like Matthews in this fight I think he's a better technical Grappler here mostly submission wins his nickname is the controller for a reason and I just think there's a big skill discrepancy there with Dennis Buzukja”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Dennis Buzukja “Dennis Buzukja's best attribute is he tries really hard and that's encouraging obviously we want guys who are going to fight hard for our money”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Dennis Buzukja VALUE “I've been picking Dennis Dennis Buzukja to win I am going to give him a little bit of an edge because of UFC experience” $1.86
WP We Want Picks picks Dennis Buzukja VALUE “I think Dennis Buzukja wins this fight”
BG Bettor in Green picks Connor Matthews VALUE “I'm putting all my money on Connor Matthews” $2.02
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Connor Matthews VALUE “Conor Matthews is going to the pick for me in this one”
CB Champ Bets picks Dennis Buzukja “I'm going Dennis bazooka to probably win a hard fought decision”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Dennis Buzukja “look for bookia to win this fight on the scorecards”
MB MMA Bros picks Connor Matthews VALUE “I'm going to go with Connor Matthews by knockout”
TD Twon DeSimone picks Dennis Buzukja “I think bazooka is gonna win this fight by UD”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Buzukja12-5
L Barbosa KO/TKO · R1 Apr '26
L Marshall Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Matthews KO/TKO · R3 Mar '24
L Emmers KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
L Woodson Decision · R3 Aug '23
Matthews7-2
L Valle Submission · R1 May '25
L Delgado KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
L Buzukja KO/TKO · R3 Mar '24