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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Buckley v Luque Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus39 picks · conf 61/99
Buckley 20
19 Luque
HT1SAM pick Buckley
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Buckley 21-7 VS 0-0 Luque
5'10" height 5'11"
171 lb weight 170 lb
76" reach 76"
32 age 34
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.1 strikes landed / min 6.0
36% striking accuracy 57%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
57% striking defence 55%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
46% takedown accuracy 69%
69% takedown defence 60%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LS Lil Stray picks Joaquin Buckley “Joaquin Buckley gets it done maybe by KO that you know minus 106 Joaquin Buckley is”
MP MMA Prophecy picks Vicente Luque “I'm taking Vicente Luque Vicente Luque to win”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE “I'm going to pick Buckley I think he's going to be faster on the feet... Buckley's gonna be the pick”
TB Totally Blitzed picks Vicente Luque VALUE “I do think luk is gonna get this win” $1.91
WP We Want Picks picks Vicente Luque VALUE “I am personally on the Vicente Luque side”
CO Covers picks Vicente Luque VALUE “I'll take him in the com main” $1.87
MA Marsz picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE “give me walking Buckley”
MA Marsz picks Vicente Luque VALUE “Vicente Luque might mess up a couple people's parlay”
TS The Spar Scene MMA Show picks Joaquin Buckley “I'm going with uh Joaquin Buckley beating Vicente Luque in the money lines at minus 110” $1.91
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Vicente Luque “I think he eventually ties Buckley up in something and submits him”
MB MMA Bros picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE “I think Joaquin Buckley can do this I think it's I'm gonna give him the chance”
BM Bing Bing Boys MMA picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE “I got Joaquin Buckley too”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Buckley21-7
L Brady Decision · R3 May '26
L Usman Decision · R5 Jun '25
W Covington KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
W Thompson KO/TKO · R3 Oct '24
W Ruziboev Decision · R3 May '24
Luque0-0
W Gastelum Submission · R1 Apr '26
L Álvarez Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Holland Submission · R2 Jun '25
W Gorimbo Submission · R1 Dec '24
L Buckley KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24