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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Arce v Burns
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Arce 19-6
VS
11-6 Burns
5'7"
height
5'9"
147 lb
weight
146 lb
70"
reach
74"
36
age
38
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
1.9
36%
striking accuracy
36%
3.0
strikes absorbed / min
5.2
68%
striking defence
41%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
2.9
28%
takedown accuracy
34%
96%
takedown defence
66%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
1.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Herbert Burns VALUE
“Herbert Burns knocks him out”
The Rambling Dad picks Herbert Burns VALUE
“Herbert Burns knocks him out”
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Herbert Burns
“I think Go's got the much more experience in the UFC... I think this is going to be different for dudova being same size rather than oversized and gate who's long and lanky and hard to deal with on the outside I think will win this so gate is going to be the pick”
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Herbert Burns
“I think Go's got the much more experience in the UFC... I think this is going to be different for dudova being same size rather than oversized and gate who's long and lanky and hard to deal with on the outside I think will win this so gate is going to be the pick”
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Julio Arce
“I think he should win this... so I think they're just introducing him to that weight class and hopefully the UFC wants him to win... har is going to be the pick”
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Julio Arce
“I think he should win this... so I think they're just introducing him to that weight class and hopefully the UFC wants him to win... har is going to be the pick”
WP
We Want Picks picks Julio Arce VALUE
“jully war is going to be the pick”
We Want Picks picks Julio Arce VALUE
“jully war is going to be the pick”
KU
Kunath picks Herbert Burns VALUE
“Herbert Burns could possibLoopy Godinez do that if he wins he breaks the entire slate”
Kunath picks Herbert Burns VALUE
“Herbert Burns could possibLoopy Godinez do that if he wins he breaks the entire slate”
MB
MMA Bros picks Julio Arce VALUE
“I think he's going to knock out Herbert Burns”
MMA Bros picks Julio Arce VALUE
“I think he's going to knock out Herbert Burns”
MO
monkeykingbets picks Julio Arce
“I think Julio Arce is going to wear Herbert burns down and ultimately just out strike him land some damaging shots and win this fight”
monkeykingbets picks Julio Arce
“I think Julio Arce is going to wear Herbert burns down and ultimately just out strike him land some damaging shots and win this fight”
EB
ESPN BET picks Julio Arce VALUE
“let's go with Julio Arce versus Herbert Burns over one and a half rounds Burns coming off a long layoff RSA really looking for another win here I think he gets it done”
ESPN BET picks Julio Arce VALUE
“let's go with Julio Arce versus Herbert Burns over one and a half rounds Burns coming off a long layoff RSA really looking for another win here I think he gets it done”
TO
The Golden Octagon picks Herbert Burns VALUE
“give me Melissa gate to uh win this fight cleanly give me a decision win for Melissa got”
$1.62
The Golden Octagon picks Herbert Burns VALUE
“give me Melissa gate to uh win this fight cleanly give me a decision win for Melissa got”
$1.62
NM
Nubby MMA picks Julio Arce
“Julio Arce say is going to win this fight”
Nubby MMA picks Julio Arce
“Julio Arce say is going to win this fight”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Herbert Burns
“Julio AR is on his way to beating him”
MMA EXPERTS picks Herbert Burns
“Julio AR is on his way to beating him”
FP
Free Picks PickDawgz picks Julio Arce
“I like Julio R to get it done in this one um minus 300 favorite is high it's high but he should be able to get it done”
$1.33
Free Picks PickDawgz picks Julio Arce
“I like Julio R to get it done in this one um minus 300 favorite is high it's high but he should be able to get it done”
$1.33
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Arce19-6
W
Burns
Mar '24
L
Jackson
Nov '22
W
Santos
Apr '22
L
Yadong
Nov '21
W
Ewell
Jul '21
Burns11-6
L
Jenkins
Aug '24
L
Arce
Mar '24
L
Algeo
Jul '22
L
Pineda
Aug '20
W
Dunham
Jun '20