UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · breakdown
UFC 316 Picks and Prediction for Saturday, 6/7/25
TP
Tony's Picks54% hit
13 months ago
4W–9L · -2.0u
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
QS
Quillan Salkilld
v Yanal Ashmouz
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Quillan Salkilld
v Yanal Ashmouz
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I would go Keelin Sild inside the distance.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.21
→
close$1.23
Salkilld’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
YJ
Yoo Joo-sang
v Jeka Saragih
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Yoo Joo-sang
v Jeka Saragih
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“you got to go Yoo Joo-sang inside the distance.”
Analyst’s stated line
—
no market data captured for this fight
AS
Ariane da Silva
v Wang Cong
MONEYLINE
LOST
Ariane da Silva
v Wang Cong
MONEYLINE
LOST
“at the plus 400 price I think you got to take Ariana Ariane da Silva.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$5.00
→
close$5.00
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
KW
Khaos Williams
v Andreas Gustafsson
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Khaos Williams
v Andreas Gustafsson
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm gonna go Khaos Williams uh by knockout instead of touching the minus 195.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.56
→
close$1.56
Williams’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
SS
Serghei Spivac
v Waldo Cortes-Acosta
MONEYLINE
LOST
Serghei Spivac
v Waldo Cortes-Acosta
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Uh Serghei Spivac by minus 150. I see him having Waldo Cortes-Acosta up against the cage.”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.77
→
close$1.74
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
AM
Azamat Murzakanov
v Brendson Ribeiro
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Azamat Murzakanov
v Brendson Ribeiro
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I'm simply just going to lean that direction and go inside the distance. Uh Azamat Murzakanov inside the distance.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.19
→
close$1.19
Murzakanov’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JV
Joshua Van
v Bruno Gustavo da Silva
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Joshua Van
v Bruno Gustavo da Silva
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“So Joshua Van by knockout TKO.”
Analyst’s stated line
—
no market data captured for this fight
KH
Kevin Holland
v Vicente Luque
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Kevin Holland
v Vicente Luque
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I guess Kevin Holland by decision is a pretty solid bet.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −7%
◆ entry$1.40
→
close$1.50
Holland’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
PM
Patchy Mix
v Mario Bautista
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Patchy Mix
v Mario Bautista
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“Patchy Mix by decision I think is a best bet right there uh of the night.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.58
→
close$1.58
Mix’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JP
Joe Pyfer
v Kelvin Gastelum
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Joe Pyfer
v Kelvin Gastelum
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I think you definitely lean Joe Pyferfer as far as knockout props, but uh, yeah, fight to not go the distance.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.27
→
close$1.27
Pyfer’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KH
Kayla Harrison
v Julianna Peña
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Kayla Harrison
v Julianna Peña
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'll give out Kayla Harrison inside the distance at probably minus 400.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.15
→
close$1.17
Harrison’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MD
Merab Dvalishvili
v Sean O'Malley
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Merab Dvalishvili
v Sean O'Malley
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I have to lean Merab Dvalishvili here. Uh I don't see a finish. I see another decision.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.38
→
close$1.38
Dvalishvili’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MM
MarQuel Mederos
v Mark Choinski
PROP · DECISION
WON
—
MarQuel Mederos
v Mark Choinski
PROP · DECISION
WON
—
“we got a decent decent uh lean here with MarQuel Mederos. It's a strong side to to lean towards. He's got the height height advantage, the reach advantage. He has the UFC experience advantage. ... MarQuel Mederos by decision.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$1.52
→
close$1.60
Mederos’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted