UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo Β· breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick Β· line tracked since Β· best price in any region Β· close = day before the event
JA
Jaqueline Amorim
v Loma Lookboonmee
PROP Β· SUBMISSION
WON
Jaqueline Amorim
v Loma Lookboonmee
PROP Β· SUBMISSION
WON
βI'm going to call her to get a sub. I think that she will get this fight down to the mat uh specifically early on, and I just think that she's so dangerous there. I think that she could find a submission.β
Moneyline since pick
CLV +12%
β entry$2.05
β
close$1.83
Amorimβs moneyline β prop lines arenβt quoted
JA
Jaqueline Amorim
v Loma Lookboonmee
MONEYLINE
WON
Jaqueline Amorim
v Loma Lookboonmee
MONEYLINE
WON
βI'm going to call her to get a sub. I think that she will get this fight down to the mat uh specifically early on, and I just think that she's so dangerous there. I think that she could find a submission.β
Line since pick
CLV +12%
β entry$2.05
β
close$1.83
entry: TAB Β· best in any region at publish
RV
Rodrigo Vera
v Zhu Kangjie
PROP Β· KO/TKO
WON
Rodrigo Vera
v Zhu Kangjie
PROP Β· KO/TKO
WON
βI'm going to call a second round TKO type of stoppage.β
Moneyline since pick
CLV β9%
β entry$1.77
β
close$1.95
Veraβs moneyline β prop lines arenβt quoted
XJ
Xiong Jingnan
v Angela Hill
MONEYLINE
LOST
Xiong Jingnan
v Angela Hill
MONEYLINE
LOST
βI'm going to say that the Xiong Jingnan just she gets the the slight better of those exchanges just landing a little bit more impactfully, landing with a little bit more power.β
Line since pick
CLV β9%
β entry$1.45
β
close$1.59
entry: Pinnacle Β· best in any region at publish
CH
Cody Haddon
v Aori Qileng
MONEYLINE
WON
Cody Haddon
v Aori Qileng
MONEYLINE
WON
βIf I have to pick a side, I'm siding with the favorite here. I'm really high on Cody Haddon's ability.β
Line since pick
CLV +1%
β entry$1.30
β
close$1.29
entry: Ladbrokes AU Β· best in any region at publish
DM
Ding Meng
v JosΓ© Henrique Souza
MONEYLINE
LOST
Ding Meng
v JosΓ© Henrique Souza
MONEYLINE
LOST
βI'll side with the the Chinese fighter who, once again, I'll just kind of note you have to say it's an advantage for a fighter to be fighting in his home country.β
Line since pick
CLV β4%
β entry$1.80
β
close$1.87
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
SM
Su Mudaerji
v Alex Perez
MONEYLINE
VALUE
Su Mudaerji
v Alex Perez
MONEYLINE
VALUE
βI'm siding with the dog. I think there's value on this line. I like the upside on Madarge.β
Line since pick
CLV β1%
β entry$2.20
β
now$2.23
entry: Ladbrokes AU Β· best in any region at publish
JM
Jake Matthews
v Muslim Salikhov
PROP Β· DECISION
Jake Matthews
v Muslim Salikhov
PROP Β· DECISION
βAll in all though, the call I'm going to give, I'm going to say that Jake Matthews wins a decision here. I think that he pretty much dominates the fight.β
Analystβs stated line
$2.02
price at publish β tracking starts with the next snapshot
JM
Jake Matthews
v Muslim Salikhov
MONEYLINE
Jake Matthews
v Muslim Salikhov
MONEYLINE
βI'm going to say that Jake Matthews wins a decision here. I think that he pretty much dominates the fight. He just doesn't really go in with that killer instinct. He doesn't find that sub, so he just kind of cruises to a decision.β
Line since pick
CLV +0%
β entry$2.02
β
now$2.02
entry: Bovada Β· best in any region at publish
KA
Kai Asakura
v Cameron Smotherman
PROP Β· KO/TKO
WON
Kai Asakura
v Cameron Smotherman
PROP Β· KO/TKO
WON
βI like Kai Asakura to win this fight and I'm going to call him I'm going to I'm going to say the KO is very live. I'm going to call him to win this fight via strikes.β
Moneyline since pick
CLV β5%
β entry$1.33
β
close$1.40
Asakuraβs moneyline β prop lines arenβt quoted
KA
Kai Asakura
v Cameron Smotherman
MONEYLINE
WON
Kai Asakura
v Cameron Smotherman
MONEYLINE
WON
βI like Kai Asakura to win this fight and I'm going to call him I'm going to I'm going to say the KO is very live. I'm going to call him to win this fight via strikes.β
Line since pick
CLV β5%
β entry$1.33
β
close$1.40
entry: Betfair Sportsbook Β· best in any region at publish
SY
Song Yadong
v Deiveson Figueiredo
PROP Β· KO/TKO
LOST
β
Song Yadong
v Deiveson Figueiredo
PROP Β· KO/TKO
LOST
β
βI'm going to say he wins this fight inside the distance... There's going to be some kind of TKO stoppage, something something weird's going to happen uh that that just kind of opens the fight to being stopped.β
Moneyline since pick
CLV +3%
β entry$1.21
β
close$1.18
Yadongβs moneyline β prop lines arenβt quoted
LD
Luis Felipe Dias
v Lee Yi-sak
PROP Β· SUBMISSION
LOST
β
Luis Felipe Dias
v Lee Yi-sak
PROP Β· SUBMISSION
LOST
β
βI'll say that he pulls off a rear naked choke... I'm going to call a rear naked choke victory for Luis Felipe Dias to come in the first or second round of this fight.β
Moneyline since pick
CLV +4%
β entry$1.63
β
close$1.57
Diasβs moneyline β prop lines arenβt quoted
RV
Rodrigo Vera
v Zhu Kangjie
MONEYLINE
WON
β
Rodrigo Vera
v Zhu Kangjie
MONEYLINE
WON
β
βI'm on paper, it is an advantage to have a fighter that is fighting in his home country... I would still favor him. Uh I I I I favor him at pick 'em odds. So, uh obviously with the plus action, I see some value here on the dog.β
Line since pick
CLV β9%
β entry$1.77
β
close$1.95
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
SY
Song Yadong
v Deiveson Figueiredo
MONEYLINE
WON
β
Song Yadong
v Deiveson Figueiredo
MONEYLINE
WON
β
βI'm going to say he wins this fight inside the distance... There's going to be some kind of TKO stoppage, something something weird's going to happen uh that that just kind of opens the fight to being stopped.β
Line since pick
CLV +3%
β entry$1.21
β
close$1.18
entry: Betsson Β· best in any region at publish
ZM
Zhang Mingyang
v Alonzo Menifield
MONEYLINE
LOST
β
Zhang Mingyang
v Alonzo Menifield
MONEYLINE
LOST
β
βThe most likely outcome of this fight in my opinion is Zhang getting that early KO... I side with Zhang Mingyang Zhang, Zhang Mingyang getting the job done.β
Line since pick
CLV +1%
β entry$1.45
β
close$1.44
entry: Betsson Β· best in any region at publish
LD
Luis Felipe Dias
v Lee Yi-sak
MONEYLINE
WON
β
Luis Felipe Dias
v Lee Yi-sak
MONEYLINE
WON
β
βI'll say that he pulls off a rear naked choke... I'm going to call a rear naked choke victory for Luis Felipe Dias to come in the first or second round of this fight.β
Line since pick
CLV +4%
β entry$1.63
β
close$1.57
entry: Coolbet Β· best in any region at publish