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UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
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SY DF Yadong vs FigueiredoMain Card · Bantamweight ZM AM Mingyang vs MenifieldMain Card · Light Heavyweight SP TT Pavlovich vs TeixeiraMain Card · Heavyweight KA CS Asakura vs SmothermanMain Card · Bantamweight AP SM Perez vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight LY LD Yi-sak vs DiasPreliminary Card · Middleweight DM JS Meng vs SouzaPreliminary Card · Welterweight AQ CH Qileng vs HaddonPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AH XJ Hill vs JingnanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight LL JA Lookboonmee vs AmorimPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JM CH Matthews vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight RT LG Tsuruya vs GurulePreliminary Card · Bantamweight ZK RV Kangjie vs VeraPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE We back Meng over Henrique Souza · Welterweight Our fair value$1.67 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.94
Where to back Meng best price · region · EV vs fair $1.67
US DraftKings $1.89 +13%
UK Betway $1.83 +10%
EU Pinnacle $1.94 +16%
AU PlayUp $1.88 +12%
Consensus75 picks · conf 77/99
Meng 58
17 Henrique Souza
Y1TSMA pick Meng
How it endsmethod calls · Meng · crowd line
KO/TKO 14 $2.03
Decision 3 $9.47
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Meng 34-9 VS 0-0 Henrique Souza
6'2" height
170 lb weight
73" reach
31 age
Orthodox stance
strikes landed / min
striking accuracy
strikes absorbed / min
striking defence
takedowns / 15 min
takedown accuracy
takedown defence
submissions / 15 min
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market60% vs 52%
Consensus58 of 75 analysts
Sharpest angleMeng by KO/TKO — 14 of 17 method calls
Recommendation Back Meng @ $1.94 · fair $1.67 +16% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TH ThatBettingDude picks Ding Meng “I like the side of NOT_IN_ROSTER_9 here. Give me NOT_IN_ROSTER_9 to win by decision.”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Ding Meng “I think Ding Meng wins this. I think they found the one opponent that Ding Meng is going to beat um in the UFC. I think that's Joseé José Henrique Souza.” $1.87
WP Winning In The Shadows Bets and Predictions picks José Henrique Souza “I'll go with José Henrique Souza, but do I feel great about it? No.”
CA CanIBeCoopy picks José Henrique Souza “I'm gonna go ahead and pick José Henrique Souza to get this one done by TKO”
TP Tony's Picks picks Ding Meng “I'm going to take fight not going the distance in there.” $1.77
BI Big_J_MMA picks Ding Meng “give me Ding Meng by um maybe round two or round three... he's going to win that fight”
SH ShiestyMMA picks Ding Meng “I guess Ding Meng Ding, maybe they found someone who's worse than José Henrique Souza.”
AM Acolyte MMA picks Ding Meng “I got Ding Meng by KO. That's the lock.”
TO The Golden Octagon picks Ding Meng “Give me Ding Meng. KO round two.”
MM Mick MMA picks Ding Meng “I'm going with Ding Meng by knockout”
CO ConnorWILLmma picks José Henrique Souza “I'm gonna go José Henrique Souza by KO.”
UT UFC Predictions Tracker picks José Henrique Souza
Recent form last five, most recent first
Meng34-9
L Souza Decision · R3 May '26
Henrique Souza0-0
W Meng Decision · R3 May '26