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UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
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SY DF Yadong vs FigueiredoMain Card · Bantamweight ZM AM Mingyang vs MenifieldMain Card · Light Heavyweight SP TT Pavlovich vs TeixeiraMain Card · Heavyweight KA CS Asakura vs SmothermanMain Card · Bantamweight AP SM Perez vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight LY LD Yi-sak vs DiasPreliminary Card · Middleweight DM JS Meng vs SouzaPreliminary Card · Welterweight AQ CH Qileng vs HaddonPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AH XJ Hill vs JingnanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight LL JA Lookboonmee vs AmorimPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JM CH Matthews vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight RT LG Tsuruya vs GurulePreliminary Card · Bantamweight ZK RV Kangjie vs VeraPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE We back Perez over Mudaerji · Flyweight Our fair value$1.74 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.81
Where to back Perez best price · region · EV vs fair $1.74
US DraftKings $1.77 +2%
UK Betway $1.80 +3%
EU Pinnacle $1.81 +4%
AU Ladbrokes AU $1.73 -1%
Consensus87 picks · conf 81/99
Perez 54
33 Mudaerji
1TSMRA pick Perez
How it endsmethod calls · Perez · crowd line
KO/TKO 5 $8.02
Submission 10 $4.01
Decision 8 $5.01
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Perez 26-10 VS 15-12-2 Mudaerji
5'6" height 6'7"
128 lb weight 192 lb
65" reach 79"
34 age
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 3.0
46% striking accuracy 63%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
58% striking defence 61%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
46% takedown accuracy 53%
77% takedown defence 72%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 1.8
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market57% vs 55%
Consensus54 of 87 analysts
Sharpest anglePerez by Submission — 10 of 23 method calls
Recommendation Back Perez @ $1.81 · fair $1.74 +4% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TH ThatBettingDude picks Su Mudaerji “I really like the side of Su Mudaerji here. I see him winning on points. I see him managing to out point Alex Perez. So, yeah, give me NOT_IN_ROSTER_22 to win by decision.”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Alex Perez “give me give me Alex Perez all day long.” $1.79
CA CanIBeCoopy picks Su Mudaerji “I'm going Su Mudaerji by decision here”
MT Matthew Tennant picks Alex Perez “I'm going to go with Alex Perez here, guys.”
CC Cage Conversations picks Alex Perez “For this one, go ahead and give me Alex Perez Alex Perez by submission.”
TP Tony's Picks picks Su Mudaerji VALUE “I'm taking a shot with the dog, man. Give me Su Mudaerji to get it done. That was my first gut pick, so I'mma stick to it.” $2.20
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Alex Perez “I would probably consider him by submission, which you can get at plus 360” $4.60
TH THATMMABRO picks Alex Perez “give me Alex Perez by a smother fest. Okay, 2928 decision there.”
BI Big_J_MMA picks Alex Perez “I'm going to do it. Round two, KO. Alex Perez is back... Alex Perez masterful KO round two”
SH ShiestyMMA picks Su Mudaerji “I'm going with Su Mudaerji here.”
TS Teddy Striker picks Su Mudaerji “I'm going to go Su Mudaerji getting this done by decision.”
AM Acolyte MMA picks Alex Perez “I'm going to go Alex Perez by decision.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Perez26-10
W Johnson KO/TKO · R1 Jan '26
L Almabayev Submission · R3 Nov '25
L Taira KO/TKO · R2 Jun '24
W Nicolau KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
L Mokaev Decision · R3 Mar '24
Mudaerji15-12-2
W Aguilar Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Borjas Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Raposo Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Johnson Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Elliott Submission · R1 Dec '23