UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder Β· breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick Β· line tracked since Β· best price in any region Β· close = day before the event
MB
Martin Buday
v Marcus Buchecha
MONEYLINE
WON
Martin Buday
v Marcus Buchecha
MONEYLINE
WON
βFirst up, Martin Buday at plus 250. Now, I know Martin Buday's fights have the excitement level of a DMV line, but listen, he's got size, he's got experience, and most importantly, he's fighting a dude who treats head movement like it's a suggestion. Buday's striking isn't going to win awards, but it's meat and potatoes. reliable, filling, and enough to maybe smother Marcus McGhee into a decision loss. If he stuffs those takedowns, Marcus McGhee could be in big, sweaty heavyweight trouble.β
Line since pick
CLV β14%
β entry$3.25
β
close$3.80
entry: Betfair Sportsbook Β· best in any region at publish
DB
Da'Mon Blackshear
v Davey Grant
MONEYLINE
LOST
Da'Mon Blackshear
v Davey Grant
MONEYLINE
LOST
βLeg one, Da'Mon Blackshear, minus 295, improved striking, slick grappling, and he's facing Davey Grant's retirement tour version. De Man is younger, sharper, and not trying to get his hips replaced next week. If he doesn't do something profoundly dumb, this should be his fight.β
Line since pick
CLV +4%
β entry$1.37
β
close$1.32
CM
Carlos Leal Miranda
v Muslim Salikhov
MONEYLINE
LOST
βLeg two, Carlos Leal Miranda 520. Yeah, the odds are brutal, but so is Carlos. Forward pressure, big power, good chin, and defensively sound. Unless his opponent finds a punch from Narnia, this is Carlos's fight to lose. and he doesn't strike me as the losing type.β
Line since pick
CLV β2%
β entry$1.20
β
close$1.22
entry: Betfair Sportsbook Β· best in any region at publish
SM
Sharabutdin Magomedov
v Marc-AndrΓ© Barriault
MONEYLINE
WON
βLeg three, Sharabutdin Magomedov minus 670. Let's be honest, Shara is here to style. Flashy striking, great distance management, and enough knockout power to shut off your Wi-Fi. Marcus McGhee been getting chin check like TSA, and I think he gets caught again. Even if not, Shara's got that point fighting style that judges love, like a sniper with high kicks.β
Line since pick
CLV β1%
β entry$1.17
β
close$1.18
entry: Betfair Sportsbook Β· best in any region at publish
AR
Amanda Ribas
v Tabatha Ricci
MONEYLINE
LOST
Amanda Ribas
v Tabatha Ricci
MONEYLINE
LOST
βBut I do have a value pick. Amanda Ribas at minus 188. Now listen, I get it. Women's MMA betting is like flipping a coin while blindfolded in a wind tunnel. But Reebus has great cardio, more volume, and better striking and grappling. She's like a Swiss Army knife. If the knife also dance samba and armbbard you, unless she has one of her get cracked and wobble around like Bambi on ice moments, I think she gets it done.β
Line since pick
CLV β1%
β entry$1.53
β
close$1.55
entry: Betfair Sportsbook Β· best in any region at publish
RR
Reinier de Ridder
v Robert Whittaker
MONEYLINE
WON
β
Reinier de Ridder
v Robert Whittaker
MONEYLINE
WON
β
βNext live dog, Reinier de Ridder at plus 124. Yes, Mr. Grapple You into the upside down himself. Reinier de Ridder's got more chokes than an overeager magician and a grappling style that turns elite strikers into anxious white belts. Sure, Robert Whittaker's the better striker, but Reinier de Ridder's not in there to trade jabs. He's in there to hug you like a needy X until you tap out or mentally check out. ... Leg four, Reineer Derritter plus 124. ... If Reinier de Ridder turns this into a grappling match, I think Robert Whittaker's in for a long night flat on his back listening to Bruce Buffer yell, "Arm triangle choke."β
Line since pick
CLV β2%
β entry$2.36
β
close$2.41