MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder
Choose a fight to analyse
RW RR Whittaker vs RidderMain Card · Middleweight SM MB Magomedov vs BarriaultMain Card · Middleweight NK BG Krylov vs GuskovMain Card · Light Heavyweight İA BE Aslan vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight PY MM Yan vs McGheeMain Card · Bantamweight BM SN Mitchell vs NurmagomedovPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AR TR Ribas vs RicciPreliminary Card · Women'S Straweight MS CM Salikhov vs MirandaPreliminary Card · Welterweight MB MB Buday vs BuchechaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight MY SN Yahya vs NguyenPreliminary Card · Featherweight DG DB Grant vs BlackshearPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AA JO Almabayev vs OchoaMain Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Whittaker over de Ridder · Middleweight Our fair value$1.71 Betsson pays above fair $1.75
Where to back Whittaker best price · region · EV vs fair $1.71
US BetMGM $1.69 -1%
UK Virgin Bet $1.68 -2%
EU Betsson $1.75 +2%
AU Neds $1.70 -0%
Consensus91 picks · conf 82/99
Whittaker 56
35 de Ridder
EPRBBH pick Whittaker
How it endsmethod calls · Whittaker · crowd line
KO/TKO 35 $2.49
Submission 1 $87.17
Decision 14 $6.23
None 1 $87.17
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Whittaker 27-8 VS 21-3 de Ridder
6'0" height 6'4"
185 lb weight 186 lb
74" reach 78"
35 age 35
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.5 strikes landed / min 4.2
43% striking accuracy 47%
3.4 strikes absorbed / min 4.3
59% striking defence 59%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
38% takedown accuracy 60%
81% takedown defence 87%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market59% vs 57%
Consensus56 of 91 analysts
Sharpest angleWhittaker by KO/TKO — 35 of 51 method calls
Recommendation Back Whittaker @ $1.75 · fair $1.71 +2% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Robert Whittaker “I think Robert Whittaker is going to get a TKO or a KO in this fight against Rain Der.”
JO JorgeFlyingKnee picks Robert Whittaker “I do think Robert Whittaker will probably butcher him”
DS Dynes Sports picks Robert Whittaker VALUE “I think he's a good bet here at this price. And I I'm certainly backing him this weekend.” $1.59
HB Half The Battle picks Robert Whittaker VALUE “but I'm taking Robert Whittaker.”
FI FightDudes picks Robert Whittaker VALUE “I got a three-legg parlay. It's going to be Sharabutdin Magomedov, NOT_IN_ROSTER_1, and Robert Whittaker.”
MS Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Robert Whittaker “I'm going Robert Whittaker.”
OF Occupy Fantasy picks Robert Whittaker VALUE “I'm kind of backing him here with some confidence... Robert Whittaker definitely the side for me and I would play him pretty comfortably up until minus 200.” $1.60
CM Crossover MMA picks Reinier de Ridder “I'm gonna go with Robert Whitaker.”
ED EZ DIMES picks Robert Whittaker “I am done betting against the Ritter.”
MM MMACOOLQUAY picks Robert Whittaker “If I had to choose a fighter, I'm gonna go with Robert Whittaker.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Robert Whittaker VALUE “However, Robert Whittaker is very live, especially if he can keep the fight standing.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Reinier de Ridder VALUE “We are slightly leaning Reinier de Ridder here due to his relentless pressure and submission threat.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Whittaker27-8
L Ridder Decision · R5 Jul '25
L Chimaev Submission · R1 Oct '24
W Aliskerov KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
W Costa Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Plessis KO/TKO · R2 Jul '23
de Ridder21-3
L Borralho Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Allen KO/TKO · R4 Oct '25
W Whittaker Decision · R5 Jul '25
W Nickal KO/TKO · R2 May '25
W Holland Submission · R1 Jan '25