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BEST PRICE
We back
Mitchell
over Nurmagomedov · Bantamweight
Our fair value$1.71
pays above fair
$2.03
Best prices · Mitchell
BetRivers · US
$1.73
Betway · UK
$1.73
Unibet (FR) · EU
$2.03
Unibet · AU
$1.73
Where to back Mitchell
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.71
US
BetRivers
$1.73
+1%
BetRivers
$1.73
+1%
UK
Betway
$1.73
+1%
Betway
$1.73
+1%
EU
Unibet (FR)
$2.03
+19%
Unibet (FR)
$2.03
+19%
AU
Unibet
$1.73
+1%
Unibet
$1.73
+1%
How it endsmethod calls · Mitchell · crowd line
Submission
9
$8.54
Decision
36
$2.14
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mitchell 18-4
VS
18-5 Nurmagomedov
5'10"
height
5'8"
136 lb
weight
136 lb
70"
reach
70"
31
age
34
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
2.3
strikes landed / min
3.5
58%
striking accuracy
47%
1.6
strikes absorbed / min
2.1
58%
striking defence
57%
3.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.0
41%
takedown accuracy
16%
33%
takedown defence
66%
1.6
submissions / 15 min
1.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market59% vs 49%
Consensus51 of 74 analysts
Sharpest angleMitchell by Decision — 36 of 45 method calls
Recommendation
Back Mitchell @ $2.03 · fair $1.71
+19% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Bryce Mitchell
“so I got Bryce Mitchell.”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Bryce Mitchell
“so I got Bryce Mitchell.”
BM
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Bryce Mitchell
“I'm going to go with Bryce Mitchell because the dude is just a character and I want to see him win in the UFC.”
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Bryce Mitchell
“I'm going to go with Bryce Mitchell because the dude is just a character and I want to see him win in the UFC.”
TF
THE MMA FRISBY picks Bryce Mitchell
“I'm going to go with Bryce for that one.”
THE MMA FRISBY picks Bryce Mitchell
“I'm going to go with Bryce for that one.”
FI
FightDudes picks Bryce Mitchell
“I'm gonna go with Sed Normega Medov.”
FightDudes picks Bryce Mitchell
“I'm gonna go with Sed Normega Medov.”
MS
Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Bryce Mitchell
“I'm going to have to side with Bryce Mitchell.”
Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Bryce Mitchell
“I'm going to have to side with Bryce Mitchell.”
WP
We Want Picks picks Bryce Mitchell
“I got to go with Bryce Mitchell.”
We Want Picks picks Bryce Mitchell
“I got to go with Bryce Mitchell.”
OF
Occupy Fantasy picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I think Said Nurmagomedov'Said Nurmagomedov kind of the side if we're talking about value.”
$2.20
Occupy Fantasy picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I think Said Nurmagomedov'Said Nurmagomedov kind of the side if we're talking about value.”
$2.20
IF
Inside Fighting picks Bryce Mitchell
“I got I got Bryce Mitchell winning this one. I think it's going to be close, but the odds kind of reflect that.”
Inside Fighting picks Bryce Mitchell
“I got I got Bryce Mitchell winning this one. I think it's going to be close, but the odds kind of reflect that.”
ED
EZ DIMES picks Said Nurmagomedov
“Some people will bet him, but, you know, he's not a wrestling tank like the other NGOs.”
EZ DIMES picks Said Nurmagomedov
“Some people will bet him, but, you know, he's not a wrestling tank like the other NGOs.”
BB
Basement Breakdown picks Said Nurmagomedov
“I think Said Nurmagomedov is going to beat Bryce Mitchell. I think it's a very interesting fight and you could make arguments for both fighters but I side with say.”
Basement Breakdown picks Said Nurmagomedov
“I think Said Nurmagomedov is going to beat Bryce Mitchell. I think it's a very interesting fight and you could make arguments for both fighters but I side with say.”
HN
Hidden Source News picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE
“We're siding with Said Nurmagomedov since his takedown defense has held up well in the past and honestly if he can avoid getting trapped underneath Mitchell, he should have the tools to win this one on the feet.”
Hidden Source News picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE
“We're siding with Said Nurmagomedov since his takedown defense has held up well in the past and honestly if he can avoid getting trapped underneath Mitchell, he should have the tools to win this one on the feet.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mitchell18-4
W
Luna
Jun '26
W
Nurmagomedov
Jul '25
L
Silva
Apr '25
W
Gracie
Dec '24
L
Emmett
Dec '23
Nurmagomedov18-5
L
Mitchell
Jul '25
L
Oliveira
Feb '25
W
Gafurov
Oct '23
L
Martinez
Mar '23
W
Kakhramonov
Dec '22