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BEST PRICE
We back
Buday
over Buchecha · Heavyweight
Our fair value$2.67
pays above fair
$3.20
Best prices · Buday
Caesars · US
$3.20
LiveScore Bet · UK
$3.20
Unibet (NL) · EU
$3.20
TABtouch · AU
$3.20
Where to back Buday
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.67
US
Caesars
$3.20
+20%
Caesars
$3.20
+20%
UK
LiveScore Bet
$3.20
+20%
LiveScore Bet
$3.20
+20%
EU
Unibet (NL)
$3.20
+20%
Unibet (NL)
$3.20
+20%
AU
TABtouch
$3.20
+20%
TABtouch
$3.20
+20%
How it endsmethod calls · Buday · crowd line
KO/TKO
3
$14.25
Submission
3
$14.25
Decision
10
$4.28
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Buday 14-2
VS
5-2-1 Buchecha
6'4"
height
6'2"
266 lb
weight
254 lb
77"
reach
77"
34
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.8
strikes landed / min
—
53%
striking accuracy
—
5.5
strikes absorbed / min
—
52%
striking defence
—
0.2
takedowns / 15 min
—
25%
takedown accuracy
—
100%
takedown defence
—
0.2
submissions / 15 min
—
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market37% vs 31%
Consensus28 of 56 analysts
Sharpest angleBuday by Decision — 10 of 16 method calls
Recommendation
Back Buday @ $3.20 · fair $2.67
+20% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Martin Buday
“I do think he can sneak out the win here.”
We Want Picks picks Martin Buday
“I do think he can sneak out the win here.”
OF
Occupy Fantasy picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“I am on the Mucha side here... I think he'Said Nurmagomedov going to be under represented.”
Occupy Fantasy picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“I am on the Mucha side here... I think he'Said Nurmagomedov going to be under represented.”
CM
Crossover MMA picks Martin Buday VALUE
“I think first round submission is definitely live.”
Crossover MMA picks Martin Buday VALUE
“I think first round submission is definitely live.”
MM
MMAnomaly picks Martin Buday VALUE
“give me Bes is gonna come in here hot knife through butter get get bud down and we're going to see that that fourth degree black belt go to work and uh I wouldn't be surprised if we get an early submission in this one.”
MMAnomaly picks Martin Buday VALUE
“give me Bes is gonna come in here hot knife through butter get get bud down and we're going to see that that fourth degree black belt go to work and uh I wouldn't be surprised if we get an early submission in this one.”
TA
TakeDownTalks picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“Give me Marcus Buchecha by submission in the first round. As for the bet, give me Marcus Buchecha money line.”
$1.36
TakeDownTalks picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“Give me Marcus Buchecha by submission in the first round. As for the bet, give me Marcus Buchecha money line.”
$1.36
ED
EZ DIMES picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“I think I'm sticking with Marcus Buchecha.”
EZ DIMES picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“I think I'm sticking with Marcus Buchecha.”
HN
Hidden Source News picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“We're slightly picking Marcus Buchecha for his top control and ground and pound, but if Martin Buday survives early and finds his rhythm, a live bet on Martin Buday could have serious value.”
Hidden Source News picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“We're slightly picking Marcus Buchecha for his top control and ground and pound, but if Martin Buday survives early and finds his rhythm, a live bet on Martin Buday could have serious value.”
LI
liltoaster picks Martin Buday
“I'm gonna go Marcus because he is supposed to be like the next best grappler for heavyweight”
liltoaster picks Martin Buday
“I'm gonna go Marcus because he is supposed to be like the next best grappler for heavyweight”
SN
SnorkelMMA picks Martin Buday
“I'm going to pick Martin Buday here.”
SnorkelMMA picks Martin Buday
“I'm going to pick Martin Buday here.”
CM
Coty MMA picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“I will stick with my pick of Marcus Buchecha”
Coty MMA picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“I will stick with my pick of Marcus Buchecha”
TM
The MMA Mystic picks Marcus Buchecha
“I'm going to go with Marcus Buchecha to get this one done by submission and uh to get a win in his UFC debut.”
The MMA Mystic picks Marcus Buchecha
“I'm going to go with Marcus Buchecha to get this one done by submission and uh to get a win in his UFC debut.”
KP
Knockout Picks picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“I think Marcus subs him up. Um, yeah, I see that's the way the fight going. I think maybe Marcus even subs him up in the first round.”
Knockout Picks picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“I think Marcus subs him up. Um, yeah, I see that's the way the fight going. I think maybe Marcus even subs him up in the first round.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Buday14-2
W
Buchecha
Jul '25
W
Satybaldiev
Apr '25
W
Arlovski
Jun '24
L
Gaziev
Dec '23
W
Parisian
Aug '23
Buchecha5-2-1
L
Spann
Apr '26
L
Buday
Jul '25