MMA Prophecy
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UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder
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RW RR Whittaker vs RidderMain Card · Middleweight SM MB Magomedov vs BarriaultMain Card · Middleweight NK BG Krylov vs GuskovMain Card · Light Heavyweight İA BE Aslan vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight PY MM Yan vs McGheeMain Card · Bantamweight BM SN Mitchell vs NurmagomedovPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AR TR Ribas vs RicciPreliminary Card · Women'S Straweight MS CM Salikhov vs MirandaPreliminary Card · Welterweight MB MB Buday vs BuchechaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight MY SN Yahya vs NguyenPreliminary Card · Featherweight DG DB Grant vs BlackshearPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AA JO Almabayev vs OchoaMain Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Yan v McGhee Bantamweight Our fair value $1.31 best price $1.30 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Yan best price · region · EV vs fair $1.31
US BetOnline.ag $1.29 -2%
UK Paddy Power $1.29 -2%
EU Coolbet $1.30 -1%
AU Neds $1.28 -2%
Consensus86 picks · conf 80/99
Yan 65
21 McGhee
BSSPRH pick Yan
How it endsmethod calls · Yan · crowd line
KO/TKO 16 $5.90
Submission 1 $94.39
Decision 55 $1.72
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Yan 18-5 VS 10-2 McGhee
5'7" height 5'8"
135 lb weight 136 lb
67" reach 69"
33 age 36
Switch stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 6.1
54% striking accuracy 48%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 2.8
58% striking defence 64%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
49% takedown accuracy 33%
84% takedown defence 100%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market76% vs 77%
Consensus65 of 86 analysts
Sharpest angleYan by Decision — 55 of 72 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Petr Yan “Petr Yan Petr Yan by decision in this one.”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Petr Yan “I can't see Petr Yan lose. So, I'm hoping Petr Yan wins. I think he should get the win in this fight.”
MS Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Petr Yan “I'm gonna have to go with Petr Yan.”
WP We Want Picks picks Petr Yan “Poder has to be the pick.”
OF Occupy Fantasy picks Petr Yan VALUE “I'm pretty confident in Petr Yan here... I'm on the Petr Yan side here.” $1.33
MM MMA24-7 picks Petr Yan VALUE “Petr Yan is going to win this. If I have to bet Petr Yan. So yeah, put my money on Petr Yan.”
CM Crossover MMA picks Marcus McGhee VALUE “give me Steven Win.”
CM Crossover MMA picks Petr Yan VALUE “I'm taking McGee in this one.”
MM MMAnomaly picks Marcus McGhee VALUE “I'm taking McGee in this one.” $4.00
MM MMAnomaly picks Petr Yan VALUE “give me Petr Yan by decision but this fight is going to be so much fun.”
MR MMA Rants picks Petr Yan “I'm gonna say Petr Yan gets his one done.”
IF Inside Fighting picks Petr Yan “I am leaning Petr Yan. Jan's looked good. He continues to fight his fights.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Yan18-5
W Dvalishvili Decision · R5 Dec '25
W McGhee Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Figueiredo Decision · R5 Nov '24
W Yadong Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Dvalishvili Decision · R5 Mar '23
McGhee10-2
W Yannis Decision · R3 Jun '26
L Yan Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Martinez Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Bolaños KO/TKO · R2 Jan '24
W Buys KO/TKO · R1 Aug '23