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UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder
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RW RR Whittaker vs RidderMain Card · Middleweight SM MB Magomedov vs BarriaultMain Card · Middleweight NK BG Krylov vs GuskovMain Card · Light Heavyweight İA BE Aslan vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight PY MM Yan vs McGheeMain Card · Bantamweight BM SN Mitchell vs NurmagomedovPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AR TR Ribas vs RicciPreliminary Card · Women'S Straweight MS CM Salikhov vs MirandaPreliminary Card · Welterweight MB MB Buday vs BuchechaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight MY SN Yahya vs NguyenPreliminary Card · Featherweight DG DB Grant vs BlackshearPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AA JO Almabayev vs OchoaMain Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Salikhov over Leal Miranda · Welterweight Our fair value$4.49 SportsBet pays above fair $5.10
Where to back Salikhov best price · region · EV vs fair $4.49
US FanDuel $5.10 +14%
UK Virgin Bet $4.80 +7%
EU Pinnacle $4.86 +8%
AU SportsBet $5.10 +14%
Consensus56 picks · conf 71/99
Salikhov 16
40 Leal Miranda
BMETCM pick Salikhov
How it endsmethod calls · Salikhov · crowd line
KO/TKO 7 $6.41
Decision 2 $22.44
None 1 $44.88
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Salikhov 22-6 VS 0-0 Leal Miranda
5'11" height —
171 lb weight —
70" reach —
42 age —
Orthodox stance —
3.4 strikes landed / min —
49% striking accuracy —
2.9 strikes absorbed / min —
62% striking defence —
1.1 takedowns / 15 min —
32% takedown accuracy —
72% takedown defence —
0.0 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market22% vs 20%
Consensus16 of 56 analysts
Sharpest angleSalikhov by KO/TKO — 7 of 10 method calls
Recommendation Back Salikhov @ $5.10 · fair $4.49 +14% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Carlos Leal Miranda “I got Carlos Leal Miranda confidently, but Carlos Leal Miranda because that's the only play for this fight. I got Carlos Leal Miranda”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Carlos Leal Miranda “So I think Carlos Leal Miranda should get this one done for sure.”
MS Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Muslim Salikhov VALUE “I'm going to pick Muslim Salikhov.”
WP We Want Picks picks Carlos Leal Miranda “Carlos is going to be the pick.”
OF Occupy Fantasy picks Carlos Leal Miranda VALUE “I do think Carlos Leal Miranda gets it done here... Carlos Leal Miranda definitely a side for me.” $1.57
CM Crossover MMA picks Muslim Salikhov “I can't find myself a reason to bet against Muslim Salikov almost ever.”
MM MMAnomaly picks Carlos Leal Miranda VALUE “I just think the physicality is going to be too much for Carlos Leel and I think he gets it done.”
MM MMAnomaly picks Muslim Salikhov “We've also seen him fail on takedowns against somebody like a Cody Gibson and still end up sinking in a submission.”
ED EZ DIMES picks Carlos Leal Miranda VALUE “I think LE should win this really really easily. So that's going to be my pick.”
BB Basement Breakdown picks Carlos Leal Miranda “We're going with Carlos Leal Miranda to beat Muslim Sahilikov.”
LI liltoaster picks Muslim Salikhov “I'm gonna go Carlos on this one”
CM Coty MMA picks Carlos Leal Miranda “I think Carlos the Owl wins”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Salikhov22-6
L Medić KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Miranda KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
W Kenan KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
W Ponzinibbio Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Brown KO/TKO · R1 Feb '24
Leal Miranda0-0
L Salikhov KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25