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BEST PRICE
We back
Nguyen
over Yahya · Featherweight
Our fair value$1.30
pays above fair
$1.33
Best prices · Nguyen
DraftKings · US
$1.32
Paddy Power · UK
$1.30
Pinnacle · EU
$1.33
PointsBet (AU) · AU
$1.30
Where to back Nguyen
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.30
US
DraftKings
$1.32
+1%
DraftKings
$1.32
+1%
UK
Paddy Power
$1.30
-0%
Paddy Power
$1.30
-0%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.33
+2%
Pinnacle
$1.33
+2%
AU
PointsBet (AU)
$1.30
-0%
PointsBet (AU)
$1.30
-0%
How it endsmethod calls · Nguyen · crowd line
KO/TKO
29
$2.34
Submission
1
$67.74
Decision
20
$3.39
None
2
$33.87
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Yahya 12-5
VS
9-2 Nguyen
5'9"
height
5'11"
146 lb
weight
145 lb
73"
reach
73"
32
age
33
Switch
stance
Switch
2.4
strikes landed / min
7.2
42%
striking accuracy
40%
5.0
strikes absorbed / min
7.4
38%
striking defence
60%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
0.3
100%
takedown accuracy
100%
42%
takedown defence
84%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market77% vs 75%
Consensus41 of 52 analysts
Sharpest angleNguyen by KO/TKO — 29 of 52 method calls
Recommendation
Back Nguyen @ $1.33 · fair $1.30
+2% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Steven Nguyen
“my pick on tapology will be Steven Nguyen. And I'll say by second round TKO, that'll be my pick.”
$1.25
Capper Comparison Picks picks Steven Nguyen
“my pick on tapology will be Steven Nguyen. And I'll say by second round TKO, that'll be my pick.”
$1.25
BM
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Steven Nguyen
“I'm gonna go with Steven Nguyen. I it could be a close closer fight decision but I think Steven Nguyen should should win it pretty easily.”
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Steven Nguyen
“I'm gonna go with Steven Nguyen. I it could be a close closer fight decision but I think Steven Nguyen should should win it pretty easily.”
MS
Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Steven Nguyen VALUE
“I'm going to side with Steven Nguyen, my Vietnamese brother.”
Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Steven Nguyen VALUE
“I'm going to side with Steven Nguyen, my Vietnamese brother.”
WP
We Want Picks picks Steven Nguyen
“I think Steven Nguyen can get it done.”
We Want Picks picks Steven Nguyen
“I think Steven Nguyen can get it done.”
OF
Occupy Fantasy picks Steven Nguyen
“I do think Steven Nguyen gets it done probably by a finish.”
$1.29
Occupy Fantasy picks Steven Nguyen
“I do think Steven Nguyen gets it done probably by a finish.”
$1.29
MM
MMAnomaly picks Steven Nguyen VALUE
“I'm going with Steven Nguyen here. Um, you know, he is o and one in the UFC, but on the flip side, Mohammad Yahya is 0 and2 in the UFC. And we saw in Mohammad Yahya his last fight, man, the the leg kicks. He just cannot check the kicks at all.”
MMAnomaly picks Steven Nguyen VALUE
“I'm going with Steven Nguyen here. Um, you know, he is o and one in the UFC, but on the flip side, Mohammad Yahya is 0 and2 in the UFC. And we saw in Mohammad Yahya his last fight, man, the the leg kicks. He just cannot check the kicks at all.”
LJ
Lucrative James picks Steven Nguyen
“I think Steve wins though.”
Lucrative James picks Steven Nguyen
“I think Steve wins though.”
HN
Hidden Source News picks Steven Nguyen VALUE
“we're backing him to take the win.”
Hidden Source News picks Steven Nguyen VALUE
“we're backing him to take the win.”
LI
liltoaster picks Steven Nguyen
“I'm gonna go Steven Nguyen”
liltoaster picks Steven Nguyen
“I'm gonna go Steven Nguyen”
TM
The MMA Mystic picks Steven Nguyen
“I'm going to go Steven Nguyen in this one. I think he can uh pick apart uh Mohamd Yaya at range, maybe get the KO uh the same way that he got the KO over AJ Cunningham in his his final outing in in Dana Wise Contender Series. But um if he can't get the KO, I think he's going to do enough to win all three rounds and get the decision.”
The MMA Mystic picks Steven Nguyen
“I'm going to go Steven Nguyen in this one. I think he can uh pick apart uh Mohamd Yaya at range, maybe get the KO uh the same way that he got the KO over AJ Cunningham in his his final outing in in Dana Wise Contender Series. But um if he can't get the KO, I think he's going to do enough to win all three rounds and get the decision.”
TM
The MMA Mystic picks Steven Nguyen
“I'm going to go with Steven Nguyen. He's just uh he's just better than Mohammad Yahya.”
The MMA Mystic picks Steven Nguyen
“I'm going to go with Steven Nguyen. He's just uh he's just better than Mohammad Yahya.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Yahya12-5
L
Nguyen
Jul '25
L
Fernandes
Aug '24
L
Peek
Oct '23
Nguyen9-2
W
Yahya
Jul '25
L
Errens
Mar '24