UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
LN
Liang Na
v Ivana Petrović
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Liang Na
v Ivana Petrović
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm going patri Vic by ground and pound TKO”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$5.00
→
close$5.10
Na’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MM
Marnic Mann
v Ketlen Souza
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Marnic Mann
v Ketlen Souza
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I think Kellen zuza gets this done she's got more experience she's [__] to for competition and I think she's going to win this fight probably by submission or a decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$3.80
→
close$4.02
Mann’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.36
→
close$1.34
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
VH
Victor Henry
v Rani Yahya
MONEYLINE
WON
Victor Henry
v Rani Yahya
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm going Victor Henry I think this fight is going to be closer than the number says I agree with you this one is this line is too wide because Victor Henry should not be a minus 67 against anyone in the UFC to be honest Ronnie yaa he's not that great I'm not gonna lie but Victor Henry isn't that great either they're both okay they're both pretty mid in my opinion Ronnie Aya though he looked terrible in his last fight I'm not gonna lie he lost to Manel Jackson got knocked out Victor Henry no contest against JV bashra but he got a l blow there he looked that looked pretty painful compared like his face but he was about to throw up or yeah he threw up they said right so yeah um he went to a split decision with Tony Gravely that was questionable lost to Rafael sunel like you mentioned ra sun was like what 41 years old so I don't know man I don't know I'm picking Victor Henry as well not sure how he gets it done maybe by decision close decision could be a split decision”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.20
→
close$1.27
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
JP
Jonathan Pearce
v David Onama
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Jonathan Pearce
v David Onama
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm gonna have to disagree with you bro I think Jonathan Pearce is going to wrestle him and we're going to see a boring decision Victory by Jonathan Pearce”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −8%
◆ entry$1.59
→
close$1.72
Pearce’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AL
Austen Lane
v Jhonata Diniz
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Austen Lane
v Jhonata Diniz
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“give me that dog man no cap I went back and watched Gant Den's career man not impressed at all at all so when I watch tape I'm looking for things to like I'm G tell you if if when you when you watch tape you're supposed to be looking for things to critique and this guy Denise gives me too many things to critique and let me tell you what I seen slow sloppy footwork he gives up the first two minutes he's slow he just plots forward all he does is track you down he just he just wants to follow you Austen Lane's going to be speed kills man Austen Lane's gonna be the faster fighter here um Lane you know he's fought the tougher guys like what would what would TAA do to Denise Denise is too slow for TAA TAA would clip him in the first round and put him out TAA clipp clipped the Carl Williams I couldn't find one time Carl Williams was clipped prior to that so I mean C would knock this dude out um he's Green Man he's he's six and 0 um I'm just not impressed with him I'm not I'm not really impressed with Austen Lane either I will say he's fast and I think that it's going to be the F the speed um he has a better cardio here and that's gon to pay dividends after the first round uh Denise man you ain't gonna want a ticket you ain't gonna want to bet this guy this he's making his UFC yeah he's making his UFC debut I just um and then you know I'm not really much of the UFC uh Daniel Wacker tender series fade but last year that was profitable for people the Daniel Wacker tender series fade this is a perfect moment mineus 260 anybody land 260 on Denise is crazy I'm gonna leave it at that I'm going Austin Lane by [__] knockout”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −18%
◆ entry$3.05
→
close$3.70
Lane’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.00
KS
Karine Silva
v Ariane Lipski
MONEYLINE
WON
Karine Silva
v Ariane Lipski
MONEYLINE
WON
“give me Karine Silva she's a favorite now on on this stream it says plus 118 that is not the case big boy she is a minus 146 now and um she uh opened as a plus she did open as a plus 122 favorite I got her at plus 112 I didn't get her at plus 122 I got her plus 112 and then the next day minus 108 the next day8 I got her minus 106 bro 106 a Korean Sil TR to cut you off little bit I was like I got to get on that I see the line moving moving quickly bro you're good I'm about to show finish a line movement U the next day it was minus 120 then minus 130 then Saturday it was minus 140 and then today as we speak is- 146 so you know how do you keep cheack out the lines if you don't mind me asking yeah so what I do is um I I go on FanDuel and then I look at the lines and then every day what I do is um if I have my phone on the prop I will show you every day I just I just go and track it so that it really helps me with the bets and um yeah man the line really crashed on Max Holloway so before they even got in there I'm like CJ CJ's on to something plus yeah so no man La Movin for real and that's um that's definitely how I look at things um and um Karine Silva here man she's the more dangerous Fighter um Arion Li Arion liski she she did just go ahead and knock um Casey o this gonna be a finishing someone's getting [__] finished someone's getting for surely finished and um I'm I'm banking on Karine Silva”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.73
→
close$1.69
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.54
→
close$1.57
Spann’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.57
AP
Alex Perez
v Matheus Nicolau
MONEYLINE
WON
Alex Perez
v Matheus Nicolau
MONEYLINE
WON
“I am going Alex Alex Perezerez man I think that this fight is to come down to who has more dog and um you know um Alex Alex Perezerez is trained for a five round five I know he got uh put out early versus Davis Figo in that in that five round fight but at least he's trained for him Nicol out man this dude this dude's still Greening me man I don't know bro”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.56
→
close$2.60
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
MN
Matheus Nicolau
v Alex Perez
MONEYLINE
LOST
Matheus Nicolau
v Alex Perez
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm going matus Nicol out in this fight I can't bet someone that's lost three fights in a row three fight losing streak about the before fight losion streak matus Lala is pretty underrated in the UFC in my opinion I mean he's in the top 10 so he's in the top 10 for a reason the flyweight division ain't no joke bro there's some killers in that division he's a minus 175 favorite I think that's a little too wide I think he should be like a minus 140 um compared to minus 175 but there's a lot of Brazilians on this card and there's a reason for that they're trying to build them up and they're trying to show them off and and go on to the next step in their careers and I think that's the case from matus Matheus Nicolau plus Alex Alex Perezerez coming up on short notice that's a little scary bro give me Matheus Matheus Nicolauu to win by submission or decision this is a five round fight both guys got good cardio so I can see this going through a decision mat snickel out to win that's my pick”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.57
→
close$1.58
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
MF
Michał Figlak
v Austin Hubbard
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I like Michael fig man I think he's better than Austin Hubbard I think he's gonna be quicker faster stronger and better cardio”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.67
→
close$1.65
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish
DO
David Onama
v Jonathan Pearce
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
David Onama
v Jonathan Pearce
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“give me the [__] dog man give me David O [__] Nama the Silent Assassin... David Onama is gonna find a big shot on um Jonathan Pearce then he's gonna start Panic wrestling and then David Onama is gonna find some more big shots on the ground”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.56
→
close$2.53
Onama’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MH
Maheshate Hayisaer
v Gabriel Benítez
PROP · DECISION
WON
—
“I'm going with him in this fight I don't trust Gabriel bernitz he's a little bit older now he does have that Mexican Fighting Spirit but I just don't see him winning this fight... I'm go mahate and probably gets it done by decision”
Analyst’s stated line
—
no market data captured for this fight

