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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Guskov v Spann Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus41 picks · conf 62/99
Guskov 19
22 Spann
PSTCMU pick Guskov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Guskov 16-3 VS 23-11 Spann
6'3" height 6'5"
205 lb weight 252 lb
76" reach 79"
33 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.1 strikes landed / min 3.3
48% striking accuracy 40%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.9
47% striking defence 43%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.3
0% takedown accuracy 35%
66% takedown defence 50%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TP The City Life Project picks Bogdan Guskov “I'm going to go with Bogdan Guskov”
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Ryan Spann VALUE “I've got no distance or bus to win I have a feeling Busco might actually get the job done here I know span is a knockout artist but uh gusov also has a great knockout power they mustn't ignore that fact you know I just think ignoring that fact would be totally silly”
MA MMA Attic picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE “this gives us a massive EV and requires a bet”
WA Warlike picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE “I think this is going to be a first round finish either way”
US Uselyis picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE “give me bogdon gusov I know Ryan Spann has that knockout power... give me bogdon gusov” $2.50
TH TheGreyFaction picks Ryan Spann “I'm predicting Ryan Spann to get the win probably a knockout in the like first or second round”
SD Split Decision picks Bogdan Guskov “I got Goose goof wining the fight though good we agree on that as well”
WP We Want Picks picks Ryan Spann VALUE “I think Ryan Spann wins this fight”
RM Rare MMA picks Ryan Spann VALUE “I see Ryan ban winning this one by decision”
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Ryan Spann “N/A”
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Bogdan Guskov “N/A”
PR Pub Sports Radio picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE “I got the dog in this one man I can't trust [__] from Ryan Ryan Spann this is one of the most untrustworthy fighters ever out there man I mean I'm talking about in a fight against Johnny Walker to where he had the dude done and then I forget what happened but he was trying to do something and he got Hammer Fist and just got knocked out and I'm like wait I I just lost like I I I just lost like you were just yeah man I can't trust [__] with him but I will give him this though seeing his career uh transpire from LFA to now bogdon I'm not too impressed with him um I actually had Zack in that last fight in there but I know that he's going out there to kind of knock your ass out so I actually think the best bet is under one and a half b at what at minus 300 I don't know it's just the same [__] that you par that was just that was just my uh subconscious speaking um the only thing I feel like Bogdan Guskov should be a live dog here in this spot but the way that he keeps his hands down low he's going to overextend on something and him overextending on something is probably going to let Ryan span get a Tak down Ryan span gets towards the back you see him where the Superman cap at the UFC proba man of your dreams I married the woman of my life and I made her my wife oh [__] this shit's on I thought this [__] was on mute oh”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Guskov16-3
W Krylov KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
W Elekana Submission · R2 Jan '25
W Spann KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
W Pauga KO/TKO · R1 Feb '24
L Oezdemir Submission · R1 Sep '23
Spann23-11
W Buchecha KO/TKO · R2 Apr '26
W Brzeski Submission · R1 Jul '25
L Cortes-Acosta KO/TKO · R2 Mar '25
W Preux Submission · R1 Oct '24
L Guskov KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24