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AL
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Onama vs PearceMain Card · Catchweight
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TM
Medić vs MeansMain Card · Welterweight
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RY
Henry vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Hubbard vs FiglakPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Mayes vs MachadoPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Souza vs MannPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Padilla vs LlontopPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Petrović vs NaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Mayes v Machado
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mayes 11-7
VS
8-4-1 Machado
6'6"
height
6'4"
260 lb
weight
205 lb
81"
reach
78"
34
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
3.5
strikes landed / min
5.8
43%
striking accuracy
53%
3.8
strikes absorbed / min
2.9
46%
striking defence
63%
0.7
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
38%
takedown accuracy
0%
58%
takedown defence
82%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TP
The City Life Project picks Don'Tale Mayes VALUE
“I'm Ivana Petrovićking him to win”
The City Life Project picks Don'Tale Mayes VALUE
“I'm Ivana Petrovićking him to win”
TP
The City Life Project picks Caio Machado
“she is my Ivana Petrovićk”
The City Life Project picks Caio Machado
“she is my Ivana Petrovićk”
UC
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Caio Machado VALUE
“I've got Machado to win I'm actually pretty confident in Caio Machado to win in this combat I really think he's going to do a good job”
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Caio Machado VALUE
“I've got Machado to win I'm actually pretty confident in Caio Machado to win in this combat I really think he's going to do a good job”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Don'Tale Mayes VALUE
“I'm going with dant Mae to dust Kyle masado I think he can knock him out especially with more size now all week though I've been kind of saying Dantel May unfortunately doesn't pull the trigger all the time so decision is there at over 2 and a halfus 170 minus 110 money line I'm going Dante to win”
$1.91
MMA EXPERTS picks Don'Tale Mayes VALUE
“I'm going with dant Mae to dust Kyle masado I think he can knock him out especially with more size now all week though I've been kind of saying Dantel May unfortunately doesn't pull the trigger all the time so decision is there at over 2 and a halfus 170 minus 110 money line I'm going Dante to win”
$1.91
WP
We Want Picks picks Caio Machado
“I think Caio Machado wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Caio Machado
“I think Caio Machado wins this fight”
BE
BetSam picks Caio Machado VALUE
“give me Caio Machado uh my confidence on this one's about 60%”
$2.40
BetSam picks Caio Machado VALUE
“give me Caio Machado uh my confidence on this one's about 60%”
$2.40
LF
Liam Picks Fights picks Caio Machado VALUE
“I think Caio Machado wins it”
Liam Picks Fights picks Caio Machado VALUE
“I think Caio Machado wins it”
MO
monkeykingbets picks Don'Tale Mayes
“I'm going to go with Dantel ma to win but I think he's going to win by decision specifically”
monkeykingbets picks Don'Tale Mayes
“I'm going to go with Dantel ma to win but I think he's going to win by decision specifically”
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Caio Machado
“Caio Caio Machadodo is going to win this fight”
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Caio Machado
“Caio Caio Machadodo is going to win this fight”
KU
Kunath picks Caio Machado VALUE
“the Brazilian Kyle Caio Machado at near even money over Don'Tale Mayes”
Kunath picks Caio Machado VALUE
“the Brazilian Kyle Caio Machado at near even money over Don'Tale Mayes”
GM
GC MMA picks Caio Machado
“Dante ma guys Don'Tale Mayes sucks dick if you think dant ma is going to win this fight do not bet on this fight”
GC MMA picks Caio Machado
“Dante ma guys Don'Tale Mayes sucks dick if you think dant ma is going to win this fight do not bet on this fight”
LI
LimpyMMA picks Caio Machado
“I'm going to go on the side of Caio Machado”
LimpyMMA picks Caio Machado
“I'm going to go on the side of Caio Machado”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mayes11-7
L
Petersen
May '25
L
Walker
Feb '25
L
Gaziev
Aug '24
W
Machado
Apr '24
L
Nascimento
Nov '23
Machado8-4-1
L
Ribeiro
Nov '24
L
Mayes
Apr '24
L
Parkin
Nov '23