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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Diniz v Lane Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus30 picks · conf 54/99
Diniz 24
6 Lane
HBPJMT pick Diniz
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Diniz 9-2 VS 13-7 Lane
6'4" height 6'6"
257 lb weight 205 lb
80" reach 80"
35 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.1 strikes landed / min 2.5
40% striking accuracy 50%
3.4 strikes absorbed / min 2.4
58% striking defence 40%
2.6 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
44% takedown accuracy 30%
54% takedown defence 0%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WA Warlike picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE “I think Jhonata Diniz round one knockout”
MM Magnusisp MMA picks Jhonata Diniz “Austen Lane versus Jhonata Diniz I'm going with Jhonata Diniz uh again six and0 Austen Lane he's kind of awful but uh yeah oh um Denise is younger the guy just looks way bigger as well”
SD Split Decision picks Jhonata Diniz “I'm going to go with the Brazilian in his UFC debut to get the win stay undefeated keep his first round knockout streak going” $1.36
WP We Want Picks picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE “I think jonata Denise wins this fight”
RM Rare MMA picks Jhonata Diniz “I can see Jhonata Diniz getting this one done”
PN Picks Nation picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE “I think he's going to win this fight” $1.66
WP We Want Picks picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE “Jhonata Diniz I think Jhonata Diniz smokes Austen Lane smokes him probably finishes him”
RA Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Austen Lane “I'll take Austen Lane man okay even though he lost against T and he's Underdog”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Jhonata Diniz VALUE “I'm going to go with Jonathan Jhonata Diniz”
KU Kunath picks Jhonata Diniz “I like Jona Jhonata Diniz to make good on his UFC debut”
HM Hungoverhand Right MMA picks Jhonata Diniz “I'm going Jhonata Diniz” $1.45
LI LimpyMMA picks Jhonata Diniz “I am going to go with Jhonata Diniz to put Lanes lights out”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Diniz9-2
L Pinto KO/TKO · R2 Oct '25
W Hines Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Tybura KO/TKO · R2 Nov '24
W Williams Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Lane KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
Lane13-7
L Baraniewski KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Petrino Submission · R1 Jul '25
L Pinto KO/TKO · R2 Mar '25
W Despaigne Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Diniz KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24