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Padilla vs LlontopPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Perez vs NicolauMain Card · Flyweight
BG
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KS
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Silva vs LipskiMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
JD
AL
Diniz vs LaneMain Card · Heavyweight
DO
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Onama vs PearceMain Card · Catchweight
UM
TM
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VH
RY
Henry vs YahyaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AH
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Mayes vs MachadoPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Souza vs MannPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Padilla v Llontop
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Padilla 0-0
VS
14-5 Llontop
5'9"
height
6'0"
155 lb
weight
166 lb
74"
reach
73"
30
age
26
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.8
strikes landed / min
5.6
61%
striking accuracy
41%
4.9
strikes absorbed / min
4.1
46%
striking defence
57%
3.3
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
75%
takedown accuracy
0%
0%
takedown defence
54%
1.1
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TP
The City Life Project picks Chris Padilla
“we're going with James LlJames LlontopJames LlJames Llontoptop huge favorite James Llontop this James Llontope”
WA
Warlike picks James Llontop VALUE
“I think my money is on James Llontop here by knockout”
MM
Magnusisp MMA picks Chris Padilla
“um I'm going to go with James Lon toop um just because I don't know bro like I don't know he seems like a prospect”
WP
We Want Picks picks James Llontop VALUE
“I think James wins”
LF
Liam Picks Fights picks Chris Padilla
“N/A”
MO
monkeykingbets picks Chris Padilla
“I have Chris Padilla winning this fight”
KU
Kunath picks James Llontop
“James Llontop over a very short notice UFC debutant replacement Chris Padilla”
LI
LimpyMMA picks James Llontop
“I am going to go with him in this matchup”
IL
illguided picks James Llontop
“I just think he's overall more well-rounded and Edge a decision out on this one”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks James Llontop VALUE
“I think Yab looks good the power looks good he's a young guy he's only going to be improving he's a big guy going to be the bigger fighter in this matchup against Chris Padilla”
$83.00
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Padilla0-0
W
Bonfim
Nov '25
W
Herbert
Mar '25
W
Zhu
Sep '24
W
Llontop
Apr '24
Llontop14-5
L
Ruffy
Nov '24
L
Borshchev
Aug '24
L
Padilla
Apr '24