MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
Lucrative James
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · breakdown

UFC Betting Picks for Ulberg vs Reyes - Lucrative MMA Betting Show #36

LJ Lucrative James62% hit
9 months ago 1W–3L · -2.4u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
CU Carlos Ulberg v Dominick Reyes PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I'm calling Carlos Ulberg here. I'm calling Carlos Ulberg pretty confidently here. And that's really it, man. I think Carlos Ulberg's going to win this fight. Uh knockout or decision, both are equally likely. I'm actually going to say knockout.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.46 close$1.44
Ulberg’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.61
IE Ivan Erslan v Jimmy Crute MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm actually going to pick the underdog in this fight, boys. Ivan Ursland is a live dog here. In my opinion, he's the better boxer. In my opinion, he has the much better cardio in my opinion. Jimmy Crute's wrestling is a little bit overrated and he usually uses brute force to get you down. maybe some judo throws, you know, outside of pure double legs and single legs to which I think that Ivan Erslan can defend because I saw him defending multiple takedowns of Ian Coutalaba. And that's really it. That's why I think Ivan Erslan can win the fight and like I said, man, Ivan Erslan was dropped by Ian Coutaba. He was never that badly hurt, but he was dropped. He was dropped by Navajo Stirling. He probably was badly hurt, but he survived that as well. So, I feel like even though he gets cracked, he's got a good chin. And like I said, man, I think he's the better boxer with better cardio and and I just feel like Jimmy Crute is overrated and maybe not all there mentally in MMA at this point in his career, you know? So, I'm going to actually pick Ivan Ursman as a plus 200 underdog in this one, lads.”
Line since pick CLV −5%
◆ entry$2.85 close$3.00
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
JM Jake Matthews v Neil Magny MONEYLINE LOST
“I can't pick Neil Magny here. I mean, you know, Jake Matthews is tough to back at - 450 odds. And the reason is simple is because throughout his entire career, time and time again, you know, he's gone into fights where he should beus 450 odds. You know, he has a big path to victory like the Matthew Sealsberger fight, like the Anthony Roco Martin fight, even back to his ultimate fighter days against Andrew Hullbrook where he was a minus 500 favorite. He ended up losing by split decisions. So, yes, time and time again in his career, he's laid an egg in fights that he should win, but I can't predict when they will be cuz he fights guys who he should be, and he runs through them as well, like Darius Flowers. And I feel like at this point in his career, he's probably on the best run he's ever been on. He's probably looked the best he's ever looked. I mean, NOT_IN_ROSTER_25 looked like he didn't belong in there with him. And we could say the same about Chitty and Juani. And then, like I said, he had a 60 40 60 fight against potentially the future champion in Michael Morales. So, I will say that his recent run, he's probably looked the best he's ever looked in MMA. And that's no surprise cuz he's 31 years of age now. So, he's directly in his prime. If you know anything about MMA, usually the prime for an athlete is around 28 to 32, you know, on average. That's about the prime. And 31 is right bang, smack in the middle of that. I mean, 30 is, but, you know, don't call me a liar for a year. So, I feel like he's in his prime now, boys. And I think we're going to see his prime again at EVENT_DETAILS. I think he's just better than Neil Magny everywhere, man. I think he's going to be able to take down Neil Magny at any point in in time. And we have to remember that Neil Magny does not have a good ground game. If you can take him down, you got some cardio like Elizu Zeleleski Dos Santos didn't have. If you've got some cardio, you can basically just top time him or even finish him from top position. He's not he doesn't have a great guard, right? NOT_IN_ROSTER_23 took him down multiple times. This guy's been taken down by a lot of fighters. So, I think Jake Matthews has the path there, but on the feet, he just hits harder. He hits harder. He's better boxer. I I just think he's better everywhere, honestly. Um, Neil Magny can make it grinding and close at points, but at the end of the day, boys, Jake Matthews should probably crack Neil Magny here. Maybe hurt him on the feet a couple of times, especially since Neil is getting older now. And then I think he gets takedowns where needed to cleanly win the fight. You know, 30, 27, 29, 28. And like I said, a finish is not out of the realm of possibility if he's able to um string together some shots cuz Jake does have some power in his hands. Just go and ask NOT_IN_ROSTER_24 about that. So yeah, Jake Matthews is pretty confident pick here for me.”
Line since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.21 close$1.29
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
NS Navajo Stirling v Rodolfo Bellato PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm picking Navajo Stirling in this one. I'm picking Navajo Stirling via KO in this one. Um, NOT_IN_ROSTER_17 was a tough guy, so it definitely could be a decision, but I've seen him hurt way too many times to say that decision is so likely, you know, because look at the NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 fight. Look at the Jimmy Crute fight. I mean, you're not going to keep taking punishment like that and just keep surviving to a decision. So, I'm not calling decision or KO confidently, but I'm definitely saying that you can't be confident. I'm calling the lack of confidence confidently and I don't think anyone can be in terms of a method of victory. But I do think he can be confident in Navajo Sterling. I am confident in Navajo Sterling. I'm picking him to win this fight.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.47 close$1.42
Stirling’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.50