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UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
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CU DR Ulberg vs ReyesMain Card · Light Heavyweight JJ RT Jenkins vs TaverasMain Card · Catchweight JC IE Crute vs ErslanMain Card · Light Heavyweight JM NM Matthews vs MagnyMain Card · Welterweight NS RB Stirling vs BellatoPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight LL AT Lookboonmee vs ThainaraPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight CR AP Rowston vs PetroskiPreliminary Card · Middleweight CT JM Thicknesse vs MusasaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JM RB Mullarkey vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight MM LC Montague vs CarolinaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight BP EE Peričić vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight TN CC Nolan vs CampbellMain Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Bellato over Stirling · Light Heavyweight Our fair value$6.89 ESPN BET pays above fair $9.00
Where to back Bellato best price · region · EV vs fair $6.89
US ESPN BET $9.00 +30%
UK Betway $5.75 -17%
EU NordicBet $7.00 +2%
AU Unibet $4.80 -30%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1000.00
Consensus142 picks · conf 99/99
Stirling 118
24 Bellato
BDIMLL pick Stirling
How it endsmethod calls · Bellato · crowd line
KO/TKO 7 $12.80
Submission 2 $44.81
Decision 4 $22.41
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Stirling 9-0 VS 13-3-1 Bellato
6'4" height 6'3"
205 lb weight 204 lb
79" reach 75"
28 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 4.4
45% striking accuracy 36%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 2.4
52% striking defence 50%
2.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
28% takedown accuracy 30%
61% takedown defence 80%
1.3 submissions / 15 min 1.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market15% vs 11%
Consensus24 of 142 analysts
Sharpest angleBellato by KO/TKO — 7 of 13 method calls
Recommendation Back Bellato @ $9.00 · fair $6.89 +30% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM Topside MMA picks Rodolfo Bellato “Bolato is the much better grappler.”
PI PickemMMA picks Rodolfo Bellato “I'm not really sure, but Rodolfo Bellato might win if he survives early.”
MS Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Navajo Stirling “have to side with the weirdest [__] Navajo Stirling.”
BR Bro$TalkMma picks Rodolfo Bellato VALUE “I'm going to be going with Rodolfo Bellato in this one by decision or KO.”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Navajo Stirling “I'm going to go with Navajo Stirling to Rodolfo Bellato.”
EM EXPERTO DE MMA picks Navajo Stirling “Uh, I slightly favor Navajo Stirling.”
FA Fantomas Analysis picks Navajo Stirling VALUE “me, I'm definitely going after him in this matchup.”
CC Cage Capital picks Rodolfo Bellato VALUE “I would lean Sterling.”
UM Us vs Them MMA picks Navajo Stirling “official prediction, I'm going to go Navajo Stirling by knockout.” $1.40
TP Tony's Picks picks Navajo Stirling “The side for me clearly in this one's Navajo Stirling. I'm not looking Rodolfo Bellato's way.” $2.25
RI RicoQuillyJr picks Navajo Stirling VALUE “I'm gonna go Navajo Navajo Stirling to win this fight.”
TH ThatBettingDude picks Navajo Stirling “I like the side of Navajo Stirling.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Stirling9-0
W Cuțelaba KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Lopes KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
W Bellato Decision · R3 Sep '25
W Erslan Decision · R3 May '25
W Tokkos Decision · R3 Dec '24
Bellato13-3-1
W Fernandez KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Stirling Decision · R3 Sep '25
W Potieria KO/TKO · R2 Dec '23