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UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
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CU DR Ulberg vs ReyesMain Card · Light Heavyweight JJ RT Jenkins vs TaverasMain Card · Catchweight JC IE Crute vs ErslanMain Card · Light Heavyweight JM NM Matthews vs MagnyMain Card · Welterweight NS RB Stirling vs BellatoPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight LL AT Lookboonmee vs ThainaraPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight CR AP Rowston vs PetroskiPreliminary Card · Middleweight CT JM Thicknesse vs MusasaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JM RB Mullarkey vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight MM LC Montague vs CarolinaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight BP EE Peričić vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight TN CC Nolan vs CampbellMain Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Lookboonmee over Thainara · Women'S Strawweight Our fair value$6.55 DraftKings pays above fair $41.00
Where to back Lookboonmee best price · region · EV vs fair $6.55
US DraftKings $41.00 +526%
UK Paddy Power $34.00 +419%
EU Unibet (NL) $15.00 +129%
AU Unibet $15.00 +129%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $831.95
Consensus148 picks · conf 99/99
Lookboonmee 58
90 Thainara
BNHIMT pick Lookboonmee
How it endsmethod calls · Lookboonmee · crowd line
Submission 5 $31.42
Decision 19 $8.27
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Lookboonmee 10-4 VS 0-0 Thainara
5'1" height 5'4"
115 lb weight 115 lb
61" reach 67"
30 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.8 strikes landed / min 5.3
39% striking accuracy 55%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.3
47% striking defence 50%
1.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
30% takedown accuracy 51%
87% takedown defence 78%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 0.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market15% vs 2%
Consensus58 of 148 analysts
Sharpest angleLookboonmee by Decision — 19 of 24 method calls
Recommendation Back Lookboonmee @ $41.00 · fair $6.55 +526% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Loma Lookboonmee “I picked Loma Lookboonmee in this”
CC Combat Casual picks Alexia Thainara “I hope Loma Lookboonmee wins, but I don't think she will. I think she's cooked by Alexia Thainara.”
TM Topside MMA picks Alexia Thainara “If Alexa has a problem getting it to the ground.”
TM Topside MMA picks Loma Lookboonmee “I think this is going to be closer than the line indicates.”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Loma Lookboonmee VALUE “I like Loma Lookboonmee 52%, but I will be live betting Loma Lookboonmee.” $1.45
TM The MMA-Holes picks Alexia Thainara VALUE “I went with lunatic in Alexia Thainara. I went with her by decision.”
T™ TheWagerZone ™ picks Loma Lookboonmee “my official pick would be Loma Lookboonmee.”
BI BigCMMA picks Alexia Thainara “go with Alexia Thainara to win this one. I picked her to beat Macan by sub. I kind of want to pick her to win by sub again”
MS Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Loma Lookboonmee “we're gonna go with Loma Lookboonmee. Luke Buni got Alexia Thainara from Brazil.”
SR SrodrMMABet picks Loma Lookboonmee VALUE “my biggest bet of the card is Loma Lookboonmee at plus 180.” $2.80
TS The Real Betting Squad picks Loma Lookboonmee “Loma Lookboonmee, I with a couple but Yeah.”
SR SrodrMMABet picks Loma Lookboonmee “and Loma Lookboonmee, the biggest one. I have 1.8 units.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Lookboonmee10-4
L Amorim Submission · R1 May '26
L Thainara Decision · R3 Sep '25
W Nunes Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Brasil Decision · R3 Feb '24
W Reed Submission · R2 Feb '23
Thainara0-0
W Brasil Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Lookboonmee Decision · R3 Sep '25
W McCann Submission · R1 Mar '25