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UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
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CU DR Ulberg vs ReyesMain Card · Light Heavyweight JJ RT Jenkins vs TaverasMain Card · Catchweight JC IE Crute vs ErslanMain Card · Light Heavyweight JM NM Matthews vs MagnyMain Card · Welterweight NS RB Stirling vs BellatoPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight LL AT Lookboonmee vs ThainaraPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight CR AP Rowston vs PetroskiPreliminary Card · Middleweight CT JM Thicknesse vs MusasaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JM RB Mullarkey vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight MM LC Montague vs CarolinaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight BP EE Peričić vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight TN CC Nolan vs CampbellMain Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Campbell over Nolan · Lightweight Our fair value$1.65 BetOnline.ag pays above fair $2.40
Where to back Campbell best price · region · EV vs fair $1.65
US BetOnline.ag $2.40 +45%
UK LeoVegas $2.38 +44%
EU Unibet (NL) $2.38 +44%
AU TABtouch $2.38 +44%
Consensus72 picks · conf 76/99
Nolan 0
72 Campbell
pick Nolan
How it endsmethod calls · Campbell · crowd line
KO/TKO 24 $2.13
Submission 1 $51.17
Decision 6 $8.53
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Nolan 10-1 VS 8-0 Campbell
6'3" height 5'9"
155 lb weight 146 lb
73" reach 72"
26 age 23
Southpaw stance Switch
2.5 strikes landed / min 5.9
52% striking accuracy 47%
2.4 strikes absorbed / min 4.3
59% striking defence 50%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 2.8
42% takedown accuracy 52%
62% takedown defence 80%
1.4 submissions / 15 min 0.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market61% vs 42%
Consensus72 of 72 analysts
Sharpest angleCampbell by KO/TKO — 24 of 31 method calls
Recommendation Back Campbell @ $2.40 · fair $1.65 +45% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM Topside MMA picks Charlie Campbell “This is a recipe for a knockout.”
FF Fite Feed picks Charlie Campbell “Charlie Campbell, Junior Tafa.”
FA Fantomas Analysis picks Charlie Campbell VALUE “worth it to have NOT_IN_ROSTER_15 and therefore he is moderate or smaller for me or Charlie Campbell”
CU CultureCast picks Charlie Campbell “Dominick Reyes told CBS Sports Brian Charlie Campbell. My mindset has shifted Charlie Campbell. My mindset has shifted Charlie Campbell.”
FI Fight_Numerology picks Charlie Campbell “I'm expecting Charlie Campbell shot before Tom Nolan can establish his rhythm.”
UM Us vs Them MMA picks Charlie Campbell VALUE “prediction, I'm going to go with Charlie Campbell by decision.” $2.30
TP Tony's Picks picks Charlie Campbell VALUE “I'm looking Charlie Campbell here plus 125.” $2.25
AS Austin Shobe picks Charlie Campbell “All right, I'm going to go with Charlie Campbell”
RB Run Pure Sports | We Build Winners. DFS & Bets picks Charlie Campbell VALUE “I think Charlie Campbell has more tools in the pocket.” $1.80
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Charlie Campbell VALUE “people are picking him around 75% of the time compared to average odds closer to 60%.”
RX RX picks Charlie Campbell “Give me Charlie Campbell by decision.”
SG Seth Geko picks Charlie Campbell VALUE “Give me Charlie Campbell. I think he's a little a little slicker.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Nolan10-1
W Ziam Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Campbell Submission · R1 Sep '25
W Borshchev Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Reyes Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Martinez KO/TKO · R1 May '24
Campbell8-0
L Nolan Submission · R1 Sep '25
W Peek Decision · R3 Apr '24
W Reyes KO/TKO · R1 Sep '23