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UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
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CU DR Ulberg vs ReyesMain Card · Light Heavyweight JJ RT Jenkins vs TaverasMain Card · Catchweight JC IE Crute vs ErslanMain Card · Light Heavyweight JM NM Matthews vs MagnyMain Card · Welterweight NS RB Stirling vs BellatoPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight LL AT Lookboonmee vs ThainaraPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight CR AP Rowston vs PetroskiPreliminary Card · Middleweight CT JM Thicknesse vs MusasaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JM RB Mullarkey vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight MM LC Montague vs CarolinaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight BP EE Peričić vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight TN CC Nolan vs CampbellMain Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Mullarkey over Bedoya · Lightweight Our fair value$1.71 BetOnline.ag pays above fair $1.85
Where to back Mullarkey best price · region · EV vs fair $1.71
US BetOnline.ag $1.85 +8%
UK LeoVegas $1.81 +6%
EU LeoVegas (SE) $1.83 +7%
AU Unibet $1.81 +6%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange —
Consensus144 picks · conf 99/99
Mullarkey 97
47 Bedoya
MLLBRT pick Mullarkey
How it endsmethod calls · Mullarkey · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $36.75
Decision 41 $1.79
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mullarkey 18-8 VS 14-5 Bedoya
6'0" height 5'11"
156 lb weight 156 lb
74" reach 74"
31 age 29
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 2.2
46% striking accuracy 46%
4.5 strikes absorbed / min 2.4
53% striking defence 68%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 1.7
34% takedown accuracy 74%
78% takedown defence 58%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 1.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market59% vs 54%
Consensus97 of 144 analysts
Sharpest angleMullarkey by Decision — 41 of 43 method calls
Recommendation Back Mullarkey @ $1.85 · fair $1.71 +8% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM Topside MMA picks Jamie Mullarkey “There's the chance of maybe he finishes Jamie Mullarkey.”
TM Topside MMA picks Rolando Bedoya VALUE “I was looking at the Rolando Bedoya plus seven and a half alternate spread.”
MM mmanow27 picks Jamie Mullarkey VALUE “but uh Jamie Mullarkey Rolando Bedoya is fun.”
BI BigCMMA picks Jamie Mullarkey “Give me Jamie Malarkey to win this one by decision”
MS Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Rolando Bedoya “I'm probably going to have to pick uh [__] Orlando on this one.”
SR SrodrMMABet picks Rolando Bedoya VALUE “I have Rolando Bedoya. I got him at minus 110. Now he's plus 110.” $2.10
SR SrodrMMABet picks Rolando Bedoya “Rolando Bedoya for 0.65 units.”
UM Us vs Them MMA picks Rolando Bedoya VALUE “We got Rolando Bedoya by Moneyline. I think it's pretty good value especially since I think he's going to win.” $2.18
BR Bro$TalkMma picks Rolando Bedoya VALUE “I'm going with Bedoya simply because 100% of his losses come from decisions.”
LS Last Real Sport picks Jamie Mullarkey “that's why we're going with Jamie Mullarkey here to get the win”
EM EXPERTO DE MMA picks Rolando Bedoya “Let's go with Rolando Bedoya.”
CB Champ Bets picks Jamie Mullarkey “Give me Jamie Mali to win.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mullarkey18-8
L Salkilld Submission · R1 Feb '26
W Bedoya Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Ruffy KO/TKO · R1 May '24
L Haqparast KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
W Makdessi Decision · R3 Sep '23
Bedoya14-5
L Mullarkey Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Herbert Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Kenan Decision · R3 Aug '23
L Williams Decision · R3 May '23