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UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
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CU DR Ulberg vs ReyesMain Card · Light Heavyweight JJ RT Jenkins vs TaverasMain Card · Catchweight JC IE Crute vs ErslanMain Card · Light Heavyweight JM NM Matthews vs MagnyMain Card · Welterweight NS RB Stirling vs BellatoPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight LL AT Lookboonmee vs ThainaraPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight CR AP Rowston vs PetroskiPreliminary Card · Middleweight CT JM Thicknesse vs MusasaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JM RB Mullarkey vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight MM LC Montague vs CarolinaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight BP EE Peričić vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight TN CC Nolan vs CampbellMain Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Peričić over Ellison · Heavyweight Our fair value$1.46 1xBet pays above fair $1.50
Where to back Peričić best price · region · EV vs fair $1.46
US FanDuel $1.47 +1%
UK William Hill (UK) $1.44 -1%
EU 1xBet $1.50 +3%
AU PlayUp $1.45 -0%
Consensus125 picks · conf 99/99
Peričić 91
34 Ellison
TLBSTS pick Peričić
How it endsmethod calls · Peričić · crowd line
KO/TKO 76 $1.65
Submission 1 $125.21
Decision 7 $17.89
None 2 $62.61
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Peričić 6-1 VS 5-2 Ellison
6'5" height 6'0"
264 lb weight 236 lb
79" reach 78"
31 age 29
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.2 strikes landed / min 5.4
60% striking accuracy 49%
2.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.8
52% striking defence 60%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
40% takedown accuracy 27%
80% takedown defence 63%
1.5 submissions / 15 min 0.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market69% vs 67%
Consensus91 of 125 analysts
Sharpest anglePeričić by KO/TKO — 76 of 86 method calls
Recommendation Back Peričić @ $1.50 · fair $1.46 +3% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Frozen Fists picks Brando Peričić VALUE “have to go with my guy Brando Peričić”
TM Topside MMA picks Elisha Ellison “Elisha Ellison his chin has not held up well.”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Elisha Ellison “Elisha Ellison could win.”
PI PickemMMA picks Brando Peričić VALUE “I'm changing my pick to Brando Peričić. I think Brando Peričić's going to win.”
MS Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Elisha Ellison “I might go with Elisha Ellison to get the upset.”
SR SrodrMMABet picks Brando Peričić VALUE “Then Brando Peričić another guy that I took in the beginning 0.55 units.”
SR SrodrMMABet picks Brando Peričić “I have Brando Peričić 0.55 units.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Brando Peričić VALUE “I'm taking Brando Peričić.”
BR Bro$TalkMma picks Elisha Ellison VALUE “I'm gonna be going with Ellison in this one by either decision or KO.”
UF Ufc_picker picks Brando Peričić
FF Fite Feed picks Elisha Ellison “Only one to pick Elisha Ellison on this card.”
SC Street Champs picks Brando Peričić VALUE “I'm going with him minus 225” $1.44
Recent form last five, most recent first
Peričić6-1
W Gaziev KO/TKO · R2 May '26
W Sutherland KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
W Ellison KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
Ellison5-2
L Peričić KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25