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UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
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CU DR Ulberg vs ReyesMain Card · Light Heavyweight JJ RT Jenkins vs TaverasMain Card · Catchweight JC IE Crute vs ErslanMain Card · Light Heavyweight JM NM Matthews vs MagnyMain Card · Welterweight NS RB Stirling vs BellatoPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight LL AT Lookboonmee vs ThainaraPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight CR AP Rowston vs PetroskiPreliminary Card · Middleweight CT JM Thicknesse vs MusasaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JM RB Mullarkey vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Lightweight MM LC Montague vs CarolinaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight BP EE Peričić vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight TN CC Nolan vs CampbellMain Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Rowston over Petroski · Middleweight Our fair value$2.10 Betway pays above fair $3.20
Where to back Rowston best price · region · EV vs fair $2.10
US Caesars $2.60 +24%
UK Betway $3.20 +53%
EU NordicBet $2.85 +36%
AU TAB $2.60 +24%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange —
Consensus142 picks · conf 99/99
Rowston 68
74 Petroski
HIMLST pick Rowston
How it endsmethod calls · Rowston · crowd line
KO/TKO 35 $3.11
Submission 4 $27.25
Decision 11 $9.91
None 2 $54.50
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Rowston 14-3 VS 13-6 Petroski
6'3" height 6'0"
184 lb weight 185 lb
78" reach 73"
31 age 35
Orthodox stance Switch
4.0 strikes landed / min 5.5
52% striking accuracy 41%
2.0 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
54% striking defence 66%
2.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
47% takedown accuracy 70%
60% takedown defence 52%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 0.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market48% vs 31%
Consensus68 of 142 analysts
Sharpest angleRowston by KO/TKO — 35 of 52 method calls
Recommendation Back Rowston @ $3.20 · fair $2.10 +53% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM Topside MMA picks Andre Petroski “Andre Petroski is not really a finisher.”
TM Topside MMA picks Cameron Rowston VALUE “I got Cameron Rowston plus 7 and a half alternate spread.” $1.43
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Cameron Rowston VALUE “Cameron Rowston wins.” $2.65
MS Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Andre Petroski “No, I think I'm going to have to sign with [__] Andre Petroski on this one.”
SR SrodrMMABet picks Cameron Rowston VALUE “I'm betting Cameron Rowston. I took him at plus 120, now he's plus 140.” $2.40
SR SrodrMMABet picks Cameron Rowston “I have Cameron Rowston 0.85 units.”
BR Bro$TalkMma picks Cameron Rowston VALUE “I'm going to be going with Petroski in this one by decision or sub.”
FF Fite Feed picks Cameron Rowston “Jonathan Micallef, Cameron Rowston, Navajo Stirling,”
LS Last Real Sport picks Andre Petroski “I have to pick Andre Petroski here”
EM EXPERTO DE MMA picks Cameron Rowston “I'm going with Cameron Rowston.”
FA Fantomas Analysis picks Andre Petroski “I think he is the right favorite in the match.”
CC Cage Capital picks Andre Petroski VALUE “have to go with Petroski for this one.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rowston14-3
W Bryczek Decision · R3 May '26
W Brundage KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W Petroski KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
Petroski13-6
L Brundage KO/TKO · R2 May '26
L Rowston KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
L Shahbazyan Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Vieira Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Budka Decision · R3 Sep '24