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UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · breakdown

Best Bets for UFC Fight Night: Johnny Walker vs. Zhang Mingyang | ESPN MMA

EB ESPN BET51% hit
10 months ago 3W–3L · +2.2u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
ZM Zhang Mingyang v Johnny Walker PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“Zhang Mingyang first round TKO or KO minus 135.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.31 close$1.32
Mingyang’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.74
AS Aljamain Sterling v Brian Ortega PROP · DECISION WON
“We're going to go that this fight goes the distance. This is also a very unnecessary five round EVENT_DETAILS. I'm not sure why they did this, but both fighters durable. I think this is going to be either a boring stand-up fight or a strategic grappling match. Either way, bell-to-bell premium plan minus 185.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.37 close$1.43
Sterling’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.54
MP Michel Pereira v Kyle Daukaus PROP · DECISION LOST
“I'm going over one and a half rounds here. I think if Pereira gets a knockout, it's going to be at the end of the second. Possibly win this by a decision.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.39 close$1.45
Pereira’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
RZ Rong Zhu v Austin Hubbard PROP · DECISION WON
“Rangzo over two and a half. We get that number from minus 270 to minus 115. I think Hubard's derable enough to stick it out to the end.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.42 close$1.42
Zhu’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.87
CJ Charles Johnson v Lone'er Kavanagh MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going Charles Johnson. As much as I think Kavanaaugh is a very solid prospect, a lot of fun. This is a big step up in competition and Charles Johnson has also fought much higher level competition. So for me, this feels like a Charles Johnson win by decision. ... plus 170. Give me the season vet. I think he pulls off the upset here.”
Line since pick CLV −5%
◆ entry$2.76 close$2.90
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
SP Sergei Pavlovich v Waldo Cortes-Acosta PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm willing to lay the juice here on Sergei Pavlovich to win by TKO or decision.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.44 close$1.46
Pavlovich’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted