MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Choose a fight to analyse
JW ZM Walker vs MingyangMain Card · Light Heavyweight BO AS Ortega vs SterlingMain Card · Catchweight SP WC Pavlovich vs Cortes-AcostaMain Card · Heavyweight US DN Satybaldiev vs NurgozhayPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight LK CJ Kavanagh vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight SM KB Mudaerji vs BorjasMain Card · Flyweight TN KC Nueraji vs CrosbieMain Card · Welterweight MH GY Hayisaer vs YoungPreliminary Card · Lightweight RZ AH Zhu vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight MP KD Pereira vs DaukausPreliminary Card · Middleweight YZ WW Zha vs WilsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight XL YS Long vs Su-youngPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE We back Johnson over Kavanagh · Flyweight Our fair value$2.98 Pinnacle pays above fair $3.23
Where to back Johnson best price · region · EV vs fair $2.98
US Caesars $3.15 +6%
UK Betfair Sportsbook $2.88 -4%
EU Pinnacle $3.23 +8%
AU PlayUp $3.15 +6%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.86
Consensus45 picks · conf 66/99
Kavanagh 28
17 Johnson
MLMST1 pick Kavanagh
How it endsmethod calls · Johnson · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $16.41
Decision 9 $3.65
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Kavanagh 9-1 VS 19-8 Johnson
5'6" height 5'9"
126 lb weight 126 lb
67" reach 70"
27 age 35
Orthodox stance Switch
3.1 strikes landed / min 4.2
50% striking accuracy 47%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
54% striking defence 54%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
40% takedown accuracy 66%
82% takedown defence 55%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 1.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market34% vs 31%
Consensus17 of 45 analysts
Sharpest angleJohnson by Decision — 9 of 11 method calls
Recommendation Back Johnson @ $3.23 · fair $2.98 +8% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh VALUE “I'm picking NOT_IN_ROSTER_17 Lone'er Kavanagh to get this done by decision.”
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Lone'er Kavanagh “I got I got Lone'er Kavanagh on this one as well.”
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Lone'er Kavanagh “I'm going with Lone'er Kavanagh and I think he's going to win a decision”
FM FORGE MMA picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I'm going with Charles Johnson”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I've been picking the side of Charles Johnson Charles Johnson.” $2.66
E! Erok ! picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I am going to take Charles Johnson just off of the experience. ... We're taking him.” $2.70
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Lone'er Kavanagh “I've got to pick Lone'er Kavanagh.”
LS Last Real Sport picks Lone'er Kavanagh VALUE “I've got to pick Lone'er Kavanagh to win this fight.”
IF Inside Fighting picks Lone'er Kavanagh VALUE “I'm probably going with Lone'er Kavanagh. I think I think he's impressed somewhat recently as well. Um he's obviously like he doesn't have the experience that uh Charles Johnson has, but I'm not too hot. I'm I'm always hotter on the young prospect versus like the the old guy that's been in there for a while”
UF UFCThoughts picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I'm going to go with a Charles Johnson upset.”
EB ESPN BET picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I'm going Charles Johnson. As much as I think Kavanaaugh is a very solid prospect, a lot of fun. This is a big step up in competition and Charles Johnson has also fought much higher level competition. So for me, this feels like a Charles Johnson win by decision. ... plus 170. Give me the season vet. I think he pulls off the upset here.” $2.70
WP We Want Picks picks Lone'er Kavanagh VALUE “I do think Lone'er Kavanagh is going to win this fight”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Kavanagh9-1
W Moreno Decision · R5 Feb '26
L Johnson KO/TKO · R2 Aug '25
W Santos Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Ochoa Decision · R3 Nov '24
Johnson19-8
L Almabayev Submission · R3 Jun '26
W Silva Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Perez KO/TKO · R1 Jan '26
W Kavanagh KO/TKO · R2 Aug '25
L Temirov Decision · R3 Mar '25