MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Choose a fight to analyse
JW ZM Walker vs MingyangMain Card · Light Heavyweight BO AS Ortega vs SterlingMain Card · Catchweight SP WC Pavlovich vs Cortes-AcostaMain Card · Heavyweight US DN Satybaldiev vs NurgozhayPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight LK CJ Kavanagh vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight SM KB Mudaerji vs BorjasMain Card · Flyweight TN KC Nueraji vs CrosbieMain Card · Welterweight MH GY Hayisaer vs YoungPreliminary Card · Lightweight RZ AH Zhu vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight MP KD Pereira vs DaukausPreliminary Card · Middleweight YZ WW Zha vs WilsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight XL YS Long vs Su-youngPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE We back Satybaldiev over Nurgozhay · Light Heavyweight Our fair value$1.76 Polymarket pays above fair $2.02
Where to back Satybaldiev best price · region · EV vs fair $1.76
US BetOnline.ag $1.97 +12%
UK Betway $1.91 +9%
EU Coolbet $1.95 +11%
AU TAB $1.95 +11%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.75
Consensus33 picks · conf 56/99
Satybaldiev 22
11 Nurgozhay
TLBBTO pick Satybaldiev
How it endsmethod calls · Satybaldiev · crowd line
KO/TKO 4 $9.22
Submission 5 $7.38
Decision 12 $3.07
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Satybaldiev 9-1 VS 10-2 Nurgozhay
6'4" height 6'2"
204 lb weight 205 lb
79" reach 74"
31 age 29
Orthodox stance Southpaw
2.3 strikes landed / min 2.5
46% striking accuracy 63%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
67% striking defence 52%
1.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
40% takedown accuracy 68%
70% takedown defence 78%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 1.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market57% vs 50%
Consensus22 of 33 analysts
Sharpest angleSatybaldiev by Decision — 12 of 21 method calls
Recommendation Back Satybaldiev @ $2.02 · fair $1.76 +15% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Diyar Nurgozhay VALUE “I'm going to go with Diyar Nurgozhay to uh win this fight.”
FM FORGE MMA picks Uran Satybaldiev “I'm picking Uran Satybaldiev.”
US Uselyis picks Uran Satybaldiev “give me Uranut Bayv at a minus 142” $1.70
US Uselyis picks Diyar Nurgozhay “Diyar Nurgozhay +116” $2.16
LJ Lucrative James picks Uran Satybaldiev VALUE “I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_20 probably picking Uran Satybaldiev just because he's a dog.”
LJ Lucrative James picks Diyar Nurgozhay VALUE “I still think he's the side though. Maybe by decision.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Uran Satybaldiev “I'm going with Uran Satybaldiev Sudi Bald.” $1.68
BB Bart Barrett picks Diyar Nurgozhay “I'm going to pick Diyar Nurgozhay by decision”
BB Bart Barrett picks Uran Satybaldiev “I'm sure Diyar Nurgozhay might hurt him at some point... but I just think Uran will be able to finish or I don't know if he's going to get a finish here, but I think it's going to be a back and forth battle that goes to decision.”
LS Last Real Sport picks Uran Satybaldiev VALUE “I'm going to pick Uran Satybaldiev here to win this fight.”
UF UFCThoughts picks Uran Satybaldiev “I'm going to be picking [ __ ] Uran Satybaldiev.”
WP We Want Picks picks Diyar Nurgozhay VALUE “I'm gonna go Diyar Nurgozhay here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Satybaldiev9-1
W Nurgozhay Submission · R1 Aug '25
L Buday Decision · R3 Apr '25
Nurgozhay10-2
W Tobias Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Satybaldiev Submission · R1 Aug '25
L Ribeiro Submission · R2 Mar '25