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UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
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JW ZM Walker vs MingyangMain Card · Light Heavyweight BO AS Ortega vs SterlingMain Card · Catchweight SP WC Pavlovich vs Cortes-AcostaMain Card · Heavyweight US DN Satybaldiev vs NurgozhayPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight LK CJ Kavanagh vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight SM KB Mudaerji vs BorjasMain Card · Flyweight TN KC Nueraji vs CrosbieMain Card · Welterweight MH GY Hayisaer vs YoungPreliminary Card · Lightweight RZ AH Zhu vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight MP KD Pereira vs DaukausPreliminary Card · Middleweight YZ WW Zha vs WilsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight XL YS Long vs Su-youngPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE We back Borjas over Mudaerji · Flyweight Our fair value$2.11 Polymarket pays above fair $2.53
Where to back Borjas best price · region · EV vs fair $2.11
US BetMGM $2.45 +16%
UK Betway $2.50 +19%
EU Pinnacle $2.51 +19%
AU PlayUp $2.45 +16%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.50
Consensus47 picks · conf 67/99
Mudaerji 17
30 Borjas
LBMLFT pick Mudaerji
How it endsmethod calls · Borjas · crowd line
KO/TKO 5 $9.27
Decision 17 $2.73
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mudaerji 15-12-2 VS 10-5 Borjas
6'7" height 5'5"
192 lb weight 126 lb
79" reach 68"
age 28
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.0 strikes landed / min 5.7
63% striking accuracy 38%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
61% striking defence 65%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 2.9
53% takedown accuracy 34%
72% takedown defence 61%
1.8 submissions / 15 min 0.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market47% vs 40%
Consensus30 of 47 analysts
Sharpest angleBorjas by Decision — 17 of 22 method calls
Recommendation Back Borjas @ $2.53 · fair $2.11 +20% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Su Mudaerji “I'm going to go Su Mudaerji.” $1.54
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Kevin Borjas “I got Kevin Borjas plus 155, dog.” $2.55
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Kevin Borjas VALUE “I just slightly lean towards Borhas. I think he's the smarter fighter that could maneuver how to win the minutes a little bit better. I think he also potentially has a slight power advantage in this one. And if you ask me who's the bigger dog if this becomes a dog fight, I kind of lean towards Borhos there as well. So I I like Boros as the underdog in that matchup there.”
FM FORGE MMA picks Kevin Borjas “I'm going with Kevin Borjas.”
LJ Lucrative James picks Su Mudaerji VALUE “I like long here.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Kevin Borjas VALUE “I'm picking Kevin Borjas to win.” $2.55
BB Bart Barrett picks Kevin Borjas “I'm on the Bourhees side here... I just think Kevin Borjas is going to have more volume.”
BB Bart Barrett picks Su Mudaerji “I am leaning Su Mudaerji just because he does he has done well historically when he is fighting um another striker”
E! Erok ! picks Kevin Borjas VALUE “I think I'm going to smack with Kevin Borhas here. Plus 150 money line.” $2.50
UF UFCThoughts picks Su Mudaerji “I'll pick Su Mudaerji over Kevin Borhas.”
WP We Want Picks picks Kevin Borjas VALUE “I'm picking him here as a dog. I think Kevin can win this fight. So, we're going Kevin”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Kevin Borjas VALUE “this is my official dog of the week, Kevin Borjas. I think he's going to outbox and out grit. Uh, Su Mudaerji to a decision.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mudaerji15-12-2
W Aguilar Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Borjas Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Raposo Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Johnson Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Elliott Submission · R1 Dec '23
Borjas10-5
W Lima Decision · R3 Jun '26
L Rodríguez KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
L Mudaerji Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Rodríguez Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Costa KO/TKO · R2 May '24