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Satybaldiev vs NurgozhayPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Zhu vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
We back
Borjas
over Mudaerji · Flyweight
Our fair value$2.11
Polymarket
pays above fair
$2.53
Best prices · Borjas
BetMGM · US
$2.45
Where to back Borjas
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.11
US
BetMGM
$2.45
+16%
BetMGM
$2.45
+16%
UK
Betway
$2.50
+19%
EU
Pinnacle
$2.51
+19%
AU
PlayUp
$2.45
+16%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$2.50
How it endsmethod calls · Borjas · crowd line
KO/TKO
5
$9.27
Decision
17
$2.73
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mudaerji 15-12-2
VS
10-5 Borjas
6'7"
height
5'5"
192 lb
weight
126 lb
79"
reach
68"
—
age
28
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.0
strikes landed / min
5.7
63%
striking accuracy
38%
4.7
strikes absorbed / min
4.1
61%
striking defence
65%
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
2.9
53%
takedown accuracy
34%
72%
takedown defence
61%
1.8
submissions / 15 min
0.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market47% vs 40%
Consensus30 of 47 analysts
Sharpest angleBorjas by Decision — 17 of 22 method calls
Recommendation
Back Borjas @ $2.53 · fair $2.11
+20% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MM
MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Kevin Borjas VALUE
“I just slightly lean towards Borhas. I think he's the smarter fighter that could maneuver how to win the minutes a little bit better. I think he also potentially has a slight power advantage in this one. And if you ask me who's the bigger dog if this becomes a dog fight, I kind of lean towards Borhos there as well. So I I like Boros as the underdog in that matchup there.”
FM
FORGE MMA picks Kevin Borjas
“I'm going with Kevin Borjas.”
LJ
Lucrative James picks Su Mudaerji VALUE
“I like long here.”
BB
Bart Barrett picks Kevin Borjas
“I'm on the Bourhees side here... I just think Kevin Borjas is going to have more volume.”
BB
Bart Barrett picks Su Mudaerji
“I am leaning Su Mudaerji just because he does he has done well historically when he is fighting um another striker”
E!
Erok ! picks Kevin Borjas VALUE
“I think I'm going to smack with Kevin Borhas here. Plus 150 money line.”
$2.50
UF
UFCThoughts picks Su Mudaerji
“I'll pick Su Mudaerji over Kevin Borhas.”
WP
We Want Picks picks Kevin Borjas VALUE
“I'm picking him here as a dog. I think Kevin can win this fight. So, we're going Kevin”
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Kevin Borjas VALUE
“this is my official dog of the week, Kevin Borjas. I think he's going to outbox and out grit. Uh, Su Mudaerji to a decision.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mudaerji15-12-2
W
Aguilar
Mar '26
W
Borjas
Aug '25
W
Raposo
Apr '25
L
Johnson
Oct '24
L
Elliott
Dec '23
Borjas10-5
W
Lima
Jun '26
L
Rodríguez
Feb '26
L
Mudaerji
Aug '25
W
Rodríguez
Mar '25
L
Costa
May '24