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UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
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JW ZM Walker vs MingyangMain Card · Light Heavyweight BO AS Ortega vs SterlingMain Card · Catchweight SP WC Pavlovich vs Cortes-AcostaMain Card · Heavyweight US DN Satybaldiev vs NurgozhayPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight LK CJ Kavanagh vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight SM KB Mudaerji vs BorjasMain Card · Flyweight TN KC Nueraji vs CrosbieMain Card · Welterweight MH GY Hayisaer vs YoungPreliminary Card · Lightweight RZ AH Zhu vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight MP KD Pereira vs DaukausPreliminary Card · Middleweight YZ WW Zha vs WilsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight XL YS Long vs Su-youngPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE We back Su-young over Long · Bantamweight Our fair value$1.64 Betsson pays above fair $1.81
Where to back Su-young best price · region · EV vs fair $1.64
US Caesars $1.80 +10%
UK Betway $1.80 +10%
EU Betsson $1.81 +10%
AU Unibet $1.75 +6%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.90
Consensus39 picks · conf 61/99
Long 11
28 Su-young
BBTALF pick Long
How it endsmethod calls · Su-young · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $20.56
Decision 22 $1.87
None 1 $41.11
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Long 0-0 VS 15-8-1 Su-young
5'8" height 5'9"
136 lb weight 233 lb
70" reach 69"
28 age —
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.6 strikes landed / min 4.6
53% striking accuracy 49%
3.6 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
52% striking defence 63%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 3.0
69% takedown accuracy 44%
60% takedown defence 62%
1.4 submissions / 15 min 0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market61% vs 55%
Consensus28 of 39 analysts
Sharpest angleSu-young by Decision — 22 of 25 method calls
Recommendation Back Su-young @ $1.81 · fair $1.64 +10% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks You Su-young VALUE “I'm picking NOT_IN_ROSTER_30 NOT_IN_ROSTER_31 to get this done.”
GM GLO MMA picks Xiao Long VALUE “I'm going to go and pick uh Yong Yong. Get this done by Decision via the grappling.”
MR Milo Reyes picks Xiao Long VALUE “I got Xiao Long winning 100%... He'll finish him. Su Young does not have good striking... It'll end in a knockout.”
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks You Su-young “I think that um Yu is the more technical guy and he should get the victory.”
FM FORGE MMA picks Xiao Long “I'm going to pick Xiao Long.”
US Uselyis picks You Su-young “Give me Sun Seyong Yu money line” $1.77
TM The MMA Mystic picks Xiao Long “I'm going to go with Xiao Long on this one.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks You Su-young “I'm going You Su-young Gauge Young for the W.” $1.87
BB Bart Barrett picks Xiao Long VALUE “I'm going to take Xiao Long by uh decision here.” $2.10
E! Erok ! picks You Su-young VALUE “We're totally taking my boy right there. Absolutely. Absolutely. 100%.”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks You Su-young “I'm picking You Su-young to win this fight only because I want to see You Su-young versus NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 as a future matchup.”
LS Last Real Sport picks Xiao Long VALUE “I'm picking Zho Long to win this fight.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Long0-0
L Garbrandt Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Su-young Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Le KO/TKO · R3 Nov '24
L Chang-ho Decision · R3 Jun '24
Su-young15-8-1
L Smith Submission · R2 Mar '26
W Long Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Cunningham Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Jieleyisi Decision · R3 Nov '24