UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
CW
Chris Weidman
v Bruno Silva
PROP · DECISION
WON
Chris Weidman
v Bruno Silva
PROP · DECISION
WON
“I'm going with anel Pacho here I think it goes decision I think he gets probably a 2928”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.15
→
close$3.14
Weidman’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BS
Bruno Silva
v Chris Weidman
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Bruno Silva
v Chris Weidman
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm G toide with laughrin but I don't think peo is going anywhere I think he's going to be really tough to get out of there so I'm going to say it's by decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.43
→
close$1.44
Silva’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CM
Connor Matthews
v Dennis Buzukja
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Connor Matthews
v Dennis Buzukja
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“give me Connor Matthews again I hate to say decision again I'm going to go Connor Matthews submission round two”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.10
→
close$2.07
Matthews’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
DB
Dennis Buzukja
v Connor Matthews
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Dennis Buzukja
v Connor Matthews
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I'm gonna say Matthews finds himself submission in the second round”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.87
→
close$1.87
Buzukja’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JA
Julio Arce
v Herbert Burns
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Julio Arce
v Herbert Burns
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“give me Aro Ray to wear out Burns find himself a knockout third round third H okay yeah I think that the the move here is fight doesn't go the distance because I'm a little concerned yeah obviously you know for those that don't know Herbert Burns younger brother G Burns but the taller and lighter weight guy kind of a weird thing right see maybe maybe uh there was some cheating going on there in Brazil these guys look similar but one's younger taller and skinnier um Gilbert Burns man people have so much respect for him myself included this his brother I mean it's like davidon Figaro and his brother or Valentina shevchenko and her sister there that's so much better and and Herbert Burns man anyone should go out there and they should watch the bill ljo fight versus Herbert Burns and this was Herbert Burns last fight I think it was about two years ago Dude I mean Herbert Burns had Bill Alo wrapped up a couple times I mean it looked like the fight was over several times in the first round and then Bill Alo just kept doing his thing kept kept grinding and Herbert Burns was literally not figuratively literally crying in the center of the Octagon um his brother Gilbert was saying you can't quit you got to get back out there you got to do this Gilbert Burns gave hamach chamaya the hardest fight of his life Gilbert Burns is a dog and this guy I mean this guy's a a [ __ ] kitten you know horrible I mean just a big time [ __ ] and I'm worried about that narrative right I mean I'm really really about that narrative everyone knows this now this is two years I guarantee that Herbert Burns has worked on his cardio and I guarantee that that Gilbert Burns has sharpened the tools a little bit he has to I mean you have to do this after this long so I'm worried about it but I'm on the same side of Z I think it makes sense but I don't know if I'm going to take any action on the money line I'm going to take the under in this fight I don't think it goes the distance it could be pretty Juiced it might be like a minus 300 but I think that's a very safe bet fight does not go the distance under 1.5 even if they have it like that I would take the under there who uh what happens here is Julio AR gets a knockout in round two or Herbert Burns gets a submission in round one I think that's realistically what happens you have r submission round three or I'm sorry knock no no no knockout knockout yeah knockout round three I'm going to take Julio ArceSA knockout round two”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.27
→
close$1.29
Arce’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
HB
Herbert Burns
v Julio Arce
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Herbert Burns
v Julio Arce
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“Herbert Burns gets a submission in round one”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$4.40
→
close$4.40
Burns’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BA
Bill Algeo
v Kyle Nelson
PROP · DECISION
LOST
—
Bill Algeo
v Kyle Nelson
PROP · DECISION
LOST
—
“give me Bill Alo by unanimous decision please and thank you”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.45
→
close$1.44
Algeo’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KN
Kyle Nelson
v Bill Algeo
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
Kyle Nelson
v Bill Algeo
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
“give me Kyle Nelson give me Kyle Nelson by by uh submission I think that this happens in like round two or round three”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$3.01
→
close$3.15
Nelson’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted