UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
KC
Khamzat Chimaev
v Robert Whittaker
MONEYLINE
WON
Khamzat Chimaev
v Robert Whittaker
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model sees this one quite close still giving reat the edge at - 109”
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.42
→
close$1.46
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
LM
Lerone Murphy
v Dan Ige
MONEYLINE
WON
Lerone Murphy
v Dan Ige
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model also likes him to win this fight but only by a small margin at minus 134”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.40
→
close$1.40
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
KN
Kennedy Nzechukwu
v Chris Barnett
MONEYLINE
WON
Kennedy Nzechukwu
v Chris Barnett
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model sees this fight closer but still has Kennedy Nzechukwu as a small favorite”
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.19
→
close$1.15
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
GN
Geoff Neal
v Rafael dos Anjos
MONEYLINE
WON
Geoff Neal
v Rafael dos Anjos
MONEYLINE
WON
“I am completely on board with betting Geoff Neal in this fight”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.36
→
close$1.36
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
BF
Brunno Ferreira
v Abusupiyan Magomedov
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Brunno Ferreira
v Abusupiyan Magomedov
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“the model has those numbers mirrored and believes that fetta should have an edge here if Abusupiyan Magomedov decides to wrestle we may see if Brunno Ferreira has a gas tank but I'm expecting someone to take a nap early”
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$2.27
→
close$2.40
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
IT
Ilia Topuria
v Max Holloway
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Ilia Topuria
v Max Holloway
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“Ilia Topuria is coming into this fight as a moderate minus 230 favorite and the model likes his chances even more at -239”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.45
→
close$1.46
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
SM
Sharabutdin Magomedov
v Armen Petrosyan
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Sharabutdin Magomedov
v Armen Petrosyan
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“at the books magedov is a minus 150 favorite and the model is right in line with that”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.63
→
close$1.63
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
IN
Ismail Naurdiev
v Bruno Silva
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Ismail Naurdiev
v Bruno Silva
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“nadev is a small minus 154 favorite and the prediction model is right in line with that at minus 148”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.62
→
close$1.61
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish