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UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
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IT MH Topuria vs HollowayMain Card · Featherweight KC RW Chimaev vs WhittakerMain Card · Middleweight MA AR Ankalaev vs RakićMain Card · Light Heavyweight LM DI Murphy vs IgeMain Card · Featherweight SM AP Magomedov vs PetrosyanMain Card · Middleweight IA RC Aslan vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight GN RA Neal vs AnjosPreliminary Card · Welterweight MR MO Rębecki vs OrolbaiPreliminary Card · Catchweight AM BF Magomedov vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Middleweight KN CB Nzechukwu vs BarnettPreliminary Card · Heavyweight FB VH Basharat vs HugoPreliminary Card · Featherweight IN BS Naurdiev vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight RF CL Fakhretdinov vs LealPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Ferreira over Magomedov · Middleweight Our fair value$2.31 LowVig.ag pays above fair $2.40
Where to back Ferreira best price · region · EV vs fair $2.31
US LowVig.ag $2.40 +4%
UK Paddy Power $2.25 -3%
EU Pinnacle $2.37 +2%
AU Neds $2.30 -0%
Consensus58 picks · conf 72/99
Magomedov 31
27 Ferreira
EOCMJM pick Magomedov
How it endsmethod calls · Ferreira · crowd line
KO/TKO 15 $2.93
Submission 1 $43.91
Decision 2 $21.96
None 1 $43.91
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Magomedov 28-7-1 VS 15-3 Ferreira
6'2" height 5'10"
185 lb weight 184 lb
78" reach 72"
35 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.7 strikes landed / min 3.8
38% striking accuracy 50%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
74% striking defence 52%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
60% takedown accuracy 16%
65% takedown defence 53%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market43% vs 42%
Consensus27 of 58 analysts
Sharpest angleFerreira by KO/TKO — 15 of 19 method calls
Recommendation Back Ferreira @ $2.40 · fair $2.31 +4% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Brunno Ferreira “I like Brunno Ferreira in this spot”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE “we're going to go a little bit riskier with Abusupiyan Magomedov as he takes on Brunno Ferreira” $3.10
JU JussJustin picks Abusupiyan Magomedov “I think Abusupiyan Magomedov is getting it”
HP Hayjive Picks picks Brunno Ferreira “Brunno Ferreira I think he's overrated I think he's overrated as okay the guy has knockout power in the first round sure but who's he knocking out”
HP Hayjive Picks picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE “I'm taking Abu smam medov on the money line because he's better he's just the better fighter” $1.74
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE “I'm personally liking Abusupiyan Magomedovs Maan B off quite a bit” $85.00
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Abusupiyan Magomedov “I'm going to go with Sharabutdin Magomedov”
RM Rare MMA picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE “Abusupiyan Magomedov versus Raffael Cerqueira I think Rafael dos Anjos knocks out Abusupiyan Magomedov”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE “I think Mago medov is going to finish Bruno Brunno Ferreira” $1.70
PP Parlay Princes picks Brunno Ferreira VALUE “now I just talked myself back and Brunno Ferreira perfect let's go just the KO power”
DS Dynes Sports picks Abusupiyan Magomedov VALUE “Abusupiyan Magomedov is the better technical Striker but at the same time we've seen Brunno Ferreira probably a power advantage over Abusupiyan Magomedov Abusupiyan Magomedov here as the slight favorite”
DS Dynes Sports picks Brunno Ferreira VALUE “if playing the Brunno Ferreira side I surprise me to see Brunno Ferreira find that like Brunno Ferreira you're absolutely going to”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Magomedov28-7-1
W Oleksiejczuk Submission · R1 Jun '26
L Pyfer Submission · R2 Oct '25
W Pereira Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Ferreira Submission · R3 Oct '24
W Alves Decision · R3 May '24
Ferreira15-3
L Aliskerov Decision · R3 Jun '26
L Rodrigues KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
W Vettori Decision · R3 Dec '25
W McVey Submission · R1 Jul '25
W Petrosyan Submission · R2 Mar '25