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Rębecki vs OrolbaiPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Chimaev vs WhittakerMain Card · Middleweight
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Murphy vs IgeMain Card · Featherweight
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AP
Magomedov vs PetrosyanMain Card · Middleweight
IA
RC
Aslan vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
GN
RA
Neal vs AnjosPreliminary Card · Welterweight
MR
MO
Rębecki vs OrolbaiPreliminary Card · Catchweight
AM
BF
Magomedov vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Middleweight
KN
CB
Nzechukwu vs BarnettPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
FB
VH
Basharat vs HugoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
IN
BS
Naurdiev vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
We back
Rębecki
over Orolbai · Catchweight
Our fair value$3.37
pays above fair
$3.75
Best prices · Rębecki
BetOnline.ag · US
$3.75
Virgin Bet · UK
$3.50
Pinnacle · EU
$3.75
SportsBet · AU
$3.55
Where to back Rębecki
best price · region · EV vs fair $3.37
US
BetOnline.ag
$3.75
+11%
BetOnline.ag
$3.75
+11%
UK
Virgin Bet
$3.50
+4%
Virgin Bet
$3.50
+4%
EU
Pinnacle
$3.75
+11%
Pinnacle
$3.75
+11%
AU
SportsBet
$3.55
+5%
SportsBet
$3.55
+5%
How it endsmethod calls · Rębecki · crowd line
KO/TKO
4
$8.42
Decision
4
$8.42
None
2
$16.84
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Rębecki 20-4
VS
15-2-1 Orolbai
5'7"
height
5'10"
155 lb
weight
170 lb
66"
reach
74"
33
age
28
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.7
strikes landed / min
3.4
48%
striking accuracy
48%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.4
54%
striking defence
49%
3.8
takedowns / 15 min
5.4
75%
takedown accuracy
43%
45%
takedown defence
40%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
0.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market30% vs 27%
Consensus18 of 49 analysts
Sharpest angleRębecki by KO/TKO — 4 of 10 method calls
Recommendation
Back Rębecki @ $3.75 · fair $3.37
+11% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I got Myktybek Orolbai this is one”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I got Myktybek Orolbai this is one”
ST
StunnaSwitch picks Myktybek Orolbai
“my pick is going to be Myktybek Orolbai by decision and money line and the fight to go the distance”
StunnaSwitch picks Myktybek Orolbai
“my pick is going to be Myktybek Orolbai by decision and money line and the fight to go the distance”
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE
“gim me Myktybek Orolbai as the first step here either to get a late finish or to win by some decision”
$1.82
MMA Lock of the Night picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE
“gim me Myktybek Orolbai as the first step here either to get a late finish or to win by some decision”
$1.82
GI
GiulianoArgenti picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE
“Myktybek Orolbai to beat Mateusz Rębecki”
GiulianoArgenti picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE
“Myktybek Orolbai to beat Mateusz Rębecki”
EB
ESPN BET picks Mateusz Rębecki
“we know Mateusz Rębecki strong tends to gas the fight goes on”
ESPN BET picks Mateusz Rębecki
“we know Mateusz Rębecki strong tends to gas the fight goes on”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Mateusz Rębecki
“we see Mateusz Rębecki just go out there look really good early but slow down uh tremendously as the fight goes on”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Mateusz Rębecki
“we see Mateusz Rębecki just go out there look really good early but slow down uh tremendously as the fight goes on”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE
“I'm personally liking Myktybek Orolbai here at 99,100”
$992.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE
“I'm personally liking Myktybek Orolbai here at 99,100”
$992.00
LM
Livid Larry MMA picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'll be going with Jeff Neal in this fight”
Livid Larry MMA picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'll be going with Jeff Neal in this fight”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“I'm going to just give you a cheap fighter who I think has a little bit better chance to excel than his current odds and that's matus Mateusz Rębecki at 7.1k”
Mayo Media Network picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“I'm going to just give you a cheap fighter who I think has a little bit better chance to excel than his current odds and that's matus Mateusz Rębecki at 7.1k”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“I'm going to go with the side of Mateusz Rębecki to take it home”
$1.30
MMA EXPERTS picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“I'm going to go with the side of Mateusz Rębecki to take it home”
$1.30
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Rębecki20-4
L
Dawson
May '26
L
Klein
Oct '25
L
Duncan
Aug '25
W
Orolbai
Oct '24
L
Ferreira
May '24
Orolbai15-2-1
W
Curtis
Mar '26
W
Hermansson
Nov '25
W
Musayev
Jun '25
L
Rębecki
Oct '24
W
Brener
May '24