MMA Prophecy
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UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
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IT MH Topuria vs HollowayMain Card · Featherweight KC RW Chimaev vs WhittakerMain Card · Middleweight MA AR Ankalaev vs RakićMain Card · Light Heavyweight LM DI Murphy vs IgeMain Card · Featherweight SM AP Magomedov vs PetrosyanMain Card · Middleweight IA RC Aslan vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight GN RA Neal vs AnjosPreliminary Card · Welterweight MR MO Rębecki vs OrolbaiPreliminary Card · Catchweight AM BF Magomedov vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Middleweight KN CB Nzechukwu vs BarnettPreliminary Card · Heavyweight FB VH Basharat vs HugoPreliminary Card · Featherweight IN BS Naurdiev vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight RF CL Fakhretdinov vs LealPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Hugo over Basharat · Featherweight Our fair value$6.35 PointsBet (AU) pays above fair $6.50
Where to back Hugo best price · region · EV vs fair $6.35
US FanDuel $6.30 -1%
UK Virgin Bet $6.25 -2%
EU Pinnacle $6.30 -1%
AU PointsBet (AU) $6.50 +2%
Consensus54 picks · conf 71/99
Basharat 45
9 Hugo
CHUEMC pick Basharat
How it endsmethod calls · Hugo · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $12.71
Submission 1 $12.71
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Basharat 14-0 VS 25-5 Hugo
5'8" height 5'7"
136 lb weight 145 lb
71" reach 72"
28 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.0 strikes landed / min 3.3
45% striking accuracy 44%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 3.0
64% striking defence 56%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
33% takedown accuracy 33%
58% takedown defence 73%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 1.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market16% vs 15%
Consensus9 of 54 analysts
Sharpest angleHugo by KO/TKO — 1 of 2 method calls
Recommendation Back Hugo @ $6.50 · fair $6.35 +2% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Victor Hugo VALUE “I went with Victor Hugo” $4.80
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Farid Basharat “um Farid Basharat I'm very confident I'm not sorry if I read Farid Basharat to win a decision”
ST StunnaSwitch picks Farid Basharat “I will probably bet Farid BashaRinat Fakhretdinov money line and will go the distance”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Farid Basharat “I like BOS rra probably by decision” $1.12
GI GiulianoArgenti picks Farid Basharat VALUE “Farid Farid Basharat to be Victor Victor HuVictor Hugo”
EB ESPN BET picks Victor Hugo “give me Farid BashaRinat Fakhretdinov by decision Victor Hugo missed weight”
EB ESPN BET picks Farid Basharat “Victor Hugo missed weight by like 65 pounds so we're getting a catch TR here bashra gets it done”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Farid Basharat “look for fared to win this fight on the scorecards”
RM Rare MMA picks Farid Basharat VALUE “Farid Basharat Victor Hugo I could see fur Bash getting it done finishing Victor Hugo”
DS Dynes Sports picks Victor Hugo VALUE “Victor Hugo fighter kind of similar to Victor Hugo in a lot from Victor Hugo who does have some power hour Victor Hugo has decent BJJ”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Farid Basharat “diría que Rinat Fakhretdinov y diría que Farid Basharat”
WP We Want Picks picks Victor Hugo “even though he is probably the more dangerous of the two fighters certainly the Wilder of the two fighters I think F bat's gonna get this done”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Basharat14-0
W Matsumoto Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Gutiérrez Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Hugo Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Lapilus Decision · R3 Jan '24
W Rodrigues Submission · R1 Sep '23
Hugo25-5
L Basharat Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Falcão Decision · R3 Apr '24