MMA Prophecy
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UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
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IT MH Topuria vs HollowayMain Card · Featherweight KC RW Chimaev vs WhittakerMain Card · Middleweight MA AR Ankalaev vs RakićMain Card · Light Heavyweight LM DI Murphy vs IgeMain Card · Featherweight SM AP Magomedov vs PetrosyanMain Card · Middleweight IA RC Aslan vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight GN RA Neal vs AnjosPreliminary Card · Welterweight MR MO Rębecki vs OrolbaiPreliminary Card · Catchweight AM BF Magomedov vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Middleweight KN CB Nzechukwu vs BarnettPreliminary Card · Heavyweight FB VH Basharat vs HugoPreliminary Card · Featherweight IN BS Naurdiev vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight RF CL Fakhretdinov vs LealPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Naurdiev v Silva Middleweight Our fair value $1.59 best price $1.60 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Naurdiev best price · region · EV vs fair $1.59
US DraftKings $1.59 +0%
UK Paddy Power $1.57 -1%
EU Coolbet $1.60 +1%
AU PlayUp $1.58 -0%
Consensus57 picks · conf 72/99
Naurdiev 37
20 Silva
TCHUMT pick Naurdiev
How it endsmethod calls · Naurdiev · crowd line
KO/TKO 3 $5.29
Submission 1 $15.88
Decision 6 $2.65
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Naurdiev 24-7 VS 14-5-2 Silva
5'10" height 5'4"
186 lb weight 125 lb
74" reach 65"
29 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.4 strikes landed / min 3.3
53% striking accuracy 48%
1.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
66% striking defence 58%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 2.3
40% takedown accuracy 28%
72% takedown defence 60%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market63% vs 62%
Consensus37 of 57 analysts
Sharpest angleNaurdiev by Decision — 6 of 10 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Ismail Naurdiev VALUE “I went with Ismael Nerf” $2.05
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Ismail Naurdiev “give me Ismail Naurdiev”
FM FunkyBunch MMA picks Ismail Naurdiev “give me Ismail Naurdiev low confidence in this fight going decision” $1.59
CP Combat Chatters Podcast picks Ismail Naurdiev “I'm going to go with Ismail Naurdiev because you know he is the younger guy”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ismail Naurdiev VALUE “I don't mind some Ismail Naurdiev here” $84.00
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Ismail Naurdiev “I'll be locking in Magomed Ankalaev”
RM Rare MMA picks Ismail Naurdiev VALUE “Ismail Naurdiev versus Bruno Silva decision”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ismail Naurdiev VALUE “I'm going with Ismail Naurdiev to beat Bruno Silva” $1.57
PP Parlay Princes picks Bruno Silva VALUE “I am going to go Bruno Bruno Silva Bruno Silva here too”
EC Ethan Caissie picks Bruno Silva VALUE “I'm going to take him I'm taking Farid Basharat probably by decision”
IL IBG Live picks Ismail Naurdiev “give me give me Ismail Naurdiev give me give me him”
MW Making the Walk picks Bruno Silva VALUE $5.00
Recent form last five, most recent first
Naurdiev24-7
W Loder KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
L Jun-yong Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Silva Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Brady Decision · R3 Feb '20
W Bahadurzada Decision · R3 Sep '19
Silva14-5-2
L Barriault KO/TKO · R1 May '25
L Naurdiev Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Weidman Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Oct '23
L Allen Submission · R1 Jun '23