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Aslan vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Ankalaev vs RakićMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Murphy vs IgeMain Card · Featherweight
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Magomedov vs PetrosyanMain Card · Middleweight
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Aslan vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
GN
RA
Neal vs AnjosPreliminary Card · Welterweight
MR
MO
Rębecki vs OrolbaiPreliminary Card · Catchweight
AM
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Magomedov vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Middleweight
KN
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Nzechukwu vs BarnettPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Basharat vs HugoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
IN
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Naurdiev vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
We back
Aslan
over Cerqueira · Light Heavyweight
Our fair value$1.84
pays above fair
$2.05
Best prices · Aslan
BetMGM · US
$2.00
LiveScore Bet · UK
$1.98
Coolbet · EU
$2.05
Neds · AU
$2.00
Where to back Aslan
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.84
US
BetMGM
$2.00
+9%
BetMGM
$2.00
+9%
UK
LiveScore Bet
$1.98
+8%
LiveScore Bet
$1.98
+8%
EU
Coolbet
$2.05
+11%
Coolbet
$2.05
+11%
AU
Neds
$2.00
+9%
Neds
$2.00
+9%
How it endsmethod calls · Aslan · crowd line
KO/TKO
18
$2.15
Decision
1
$38.66
None
2
$19.33
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Aslan 14-1
VS
11-1 Cerqueira
—
height
—
—
weight
—
—
reach
—
30
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
8.3
strikes landed / min
1.2
50%
striking accuracy
100%
4.3
strikes absorbed / min
32.9
64%
striking defence
22%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
0%
takedown accuracy
0%
100%
takedown defence
0%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market54% vs 49%
Consensus24 of 36 analysts
Sharpest angleAslan by KO/TKO — 18 of 21 method calls
Recommendation
Back Aslan @ $2.05 · fair $1.84
+11% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Raffael Cerqueira
“I got Raffael Cerqueira ... that's my pick ... we're all taking ... Raffael Cerqueira”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Raffael Cerqueira
“I got Raffael Cerqueira ... that's my pick ... we're all taking ... Raffael Cerqueira”
TM
Trips Talks MMA picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“I'm actually going to take the newcomer here in Raffael Cerqueira I'm I'm torn because Ibo Aslan he is a big favorite heading into this fight a lot of people believe in this guy but I don't know I'm smelling a bit of an upset here I think Carrera has all the skills to get the job done in this matchup so give me him at plus money and give me him in exciting fashion I think if he is going to win this fight it's going to have to be by finish”
Trips Talks MMA picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“I'm actually going to take the newcomer here in Raffael Cerqueira I'm I'm torn because Ibo Aslan he is a big favorite heading into this fight a lot of people believe in this guy but I don't know I'm smelling a bit of an upset here I think Carrera has all the skills to get the job done in this matchup so give me him at plus money and give me him in exciting fashion I think if he is going to win this fight it's going to have to be by finish”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“maybe you know a little bit of a lean towards Raffael Cerqueira here at 8,000”
$81.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“maybe you know a little bit of a lean towards Raffael Cerqueira here at 8,000”
$81.00
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Ibo Aslan
“look for Sara to wrap up a submission within five minutes”
MMA Lock of the Night picks Ibo Aslan
“look for Sara to wrap up a submission within five minutes”
LM
Livid Larry MMA picks Raffael Cerqueira
“I'm going to be siding with Rafael Carneiro”
Livid Larry MMA picks Raffael Cerqueira
“I'm going to be siding with Rafael Carneiro”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“he's also going to be my pick to win um ... I like Raffael Cerqueira currently more than Ibo Aslan at 8K”
Mayo Media Network picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“he's also going to be my pick to win um ... I like Raffael Cerqueira currently more than Ibo Aslan at 8K”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“I am picking Raffael Cerqueira to take this thing home”
$1.77
MMA EXPERTS picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“I am picking Raffael Cerqueira to take this thing home”
$1.77
PP
Parlay Princes picks Ibo Aslan
“I'm betting Ibo Aslan Aslan for no reIbo Aslan Aslan lock it in”
Parlay Princes picks Ibo Aslan
“I'm betting Ibo Aslan Aslan for no reIbo Aslan Aslan lock it in”
EC
Ethan Caissie picks Ibo Aslan VALUE
“I'm going to say someone's getting knocked out”
Ethan Caissie picks Ibo Aslan VALUE
“I'm going to say someone's getting knocked out”
IL
IBG Live picks Raffael Cerqueira
“I'm going with Raffael Cerqueira bro I'm rooting for you big bro just cuz you're undefeated”
IBG Live picks Raffael Cerqueira
“I'm going with Raffael Cerqueira bro I'm rooting for you big bro just cuz you're undefeated”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Aslan14-1
W
Cerqueira
Oct '24
W
Turkalj
Mar '24
Cerqueira11-1
L
Bukauskas
Feb '25
L
Aslan
Oct '24