MMA Prophecy
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UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
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IT MH Topuria vs HollowayMain Card · Featherweight KC RW Chimaev vs WhittakerMain Card · Middleweight MA AR Ankalaev vs RakićMain Card · Light Heavyweight LM DI Murphy vs IgeMain Card · Featherweight SM AP Magomedov vs PetrosyanMain Card · Middleweight IA RC Aslan vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight GN RA Neal vs AnjosPreliminary Card · Welterweight MR MO Rębecki vs OrolbaiPreliminary Card · Catchweight AM BF Magomedov vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Middleweight KN CB Nzechukwu vs BarnettPreliminary Card · Heavyweight FB VH Basharat vs HugoPreliminary Card · Featherweight IN BS Naurdiev vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Middleweight RF CL Fakhretdinov vs LealPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Ankalaev v Rakić Light Heavyweight Our fair value $1.30 best price $1.29 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Ankalaev best price · region · EV vs fair $1.30
US FanDuel $1.28 -2%
UK Paddy Power $1.29 -1%
EU Pinnacle $1.29 -1%
AU PointsBet (AU) $1.28 -2%
Consensus92 picks · conf 82/99
Ankalaev 70
22 Rakić
TMTEUT pick Ankalaev
How it endsmethod calls · Ankalaev · crowd line
KO/TKO 17 $4.75
Submission 2 $40.36
Decision 42 $1.92
None 1 $80.72
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ankalaev 21-2-1 VS 14-5 Rakić
6'3" height
204 lb weight
75" reach
34 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.1 strikes landed / min 4.2
65% striking accuracy 50%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 2.9
54% striking defence 51%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
35% takedown accuracy 23%
84% takedown defence 85%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 0.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market77% vs 78%
Consensus70 of 92 analysts
Sharpest angleAnkalaev by Decision — 42 of 62 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BS B ALL N Sports picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE “I do am G to side with ankali in this match ... I think this is gonna be a sub in round round number two”
JU JussJustin picks Magomed Ankalaev “I'll go with Magomed Ankalaev”
ST Stephen Wonderboy Thompson picks Magomed Ankalaev “I'm leaning towards my man Magomed Ankalaev”
CS Chael Sonnen picks Aleksandar Rakić VALUE “I'm taking Aleksandar Rakić four to one 3 to one”
JW Josh Wisse picks Aleksandar Rakić “I think if it goes to the cards with Aleksandar Rakić and it's a close fight I think they're going to give it to Aleksandar Rakić”
GI GiulianoArgenti picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE “MaVictor Hugomed Ankalaev to beat Aleksandar Aleksandar Rakić”
EB ESPN BET picks Aleksandar Rakić “Magomed Ankalaev taking on Aleksandar Rakić in a very very important light heavyweight bout”
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Magomed Ankalaev “this is a really close fight but I think Magomed Ankalaev gets the win over Aleksandar Rakić”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Aleksandar Rakić VALUE “I think Aleksandar Rakić is live to win the fight” $69.00
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Magomed Ankalaev “give me anive by knockout”
AJ AjTooFresh picks Magomed Ankalaev “I think Magomed Ankalaev is going to win this fight”
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Magomed Ankalaev “I'm going to go with Farid Basharat”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ankalaev21-2-1
L Pereira KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
W Pereira Decision · R5 Mar '25
W Rakić Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Walker KO/TKO · R2 Jan '24
W Smith KO/TKO · R2 Jul '22
Rakić14-5
L Murzakanov KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
L Ankalaev Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Procházka KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
L Błachowicz KO/TKO · R3 May '22
W Santos Decision · R3 Mar '21