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UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Chikadze
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pickett v Holmes Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Pickett 5
5 Holmes
MUSDW pick Pickett
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pickett 13-11 VS 8-4 Holmes
6'2" height 6'4"
186 lb weight 189 lb
80" reach 80"
37 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.6 strikes landed / min 2.9
47% striking accuracy 53%
3.6 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
50% striking defence 54%
1.3 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
40% takedown accuracy 40%
67% takedown defence 50%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM The MMA-Holes picks Joseph Holmes VALUE “Joseph Holmes is a slight favorite over Charles Rosa”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jamie Pickett VALUE “i'm gonna go Jamie Pickett i gotta go experience as the best teacher and i think that he beats Joseph Holmes” $2.40
WP We Want Picks picks Jamie Pickett “he's the favorite i think he wins” $77.00
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Joseph Holmes “if anything it's gonna be some homes for me” $1.69
KU Kunath picks Joseph Holmes VALUE “Joseph Holmes looks like a great play this week”
WP We Want Picks picks Jamie Pickett VALUE “i gotta i gotta go with Jamie Pickett”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jamie Pickett VALUE “i'm picking jamie picket for the win” $2.35
SD Santino DeFranco picks Jamie Pickett VALUE “I think it's going to be a very boring lackluster decision for Jamie Pickett”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jamie Pickett VALUE “i'm going to pick jamie Jamie Pickett by decision”
GP Greedo Plays picks Joseph Holmes “i'm still taking Joseph Holmes to win this fight i don't think pickett's gonna be able to keep up with the ground game of holmes i don't think he's gonna be able to i'm gonna go joseph holmes by decision”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jamie Pickett VALUE “yeah i'm gonna side with Jamie Pickett” $2.20
SH Sherdog.com picks Joseph Holmes VALUE “i would definitely be back in Joseph Holmes if if you feel like that fight's going to happen and you want to back someone Joseph Holmes minus 105 definitely i love that price on Joseph Holmes” $1.95
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pickett13-11
L Anders Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Fremd Decision · R3 Aug '23
L Nickal Submission · R1 Mar '23
L Tiuliulin KO/TKO · R2 Sep '22
L Daukaus Submission · R1 Feb '22
Holmes8-4
L Ribeiro KO/TKO · R2 May '23
L Park Submission · R2 Oct '22
W Amedovski Submission · R1 May '22
L Pickett Decision · R3 Jan '22