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UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Chikadze
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Kelleher v Croom Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus5 picks · conf 15/99
Kelleher 3
2 Croom
DKW pick Kelleher
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Kelleher 24-16 VS 21-15 Croom
5'6" height 5'11"
136 lb weight 136 lb
66" reach 73"
39 age 38
Switch stance Orthodox
3.3 strikes landed / min 2.6
41% striking accuracy 34%
4.6 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
54% striking defence 41%
1.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
41% takedown accuracy 5%
60% takedown defence 30%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM The MMA-Holes picks Kevin Croom VALUE “Kevin Croom is a moderate favorite a minus two fitty”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Kevin Croom VALUE “i'll go Kevin Croom for the upset win” $3.00
WP We Want Picks picks Brian Kelleher VALUE “i like Brian Kelleher he's in my lineup i Viacheslav Borshchev 7 500” $76.00
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brian Kelleher VALUE “i really do like this matchup for Brian Kelleher he's gonna be my highest exposed fighter on the entire slate” $1.33
KU Kunath picks Brian Kelleher VALUE “i think that makes Brian Kelleher maybe the best play on the slate” $1.33
WP We Want Picks picks Brian Kelleher VALUE “i like Brian Kelleher to win by grind he's the pick”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Kelleher24-16
L Gibson Submission · R1 Jul '24
L Garbrandt KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
L Bautista Submission · R1 Jun '22
L Nurmagomedov Submission · R1 Mar '22
W Croom Decision · R3 Jan '22
Croom21-15
L Heili KO/TKO · R1 Apr '22
L Kelleher Decision · R3 Jan '22
L Caceres Decision · R3 Feb '21