MMA Prophecy
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UFC on ESPN: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
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RD AH Dolidze vs HernandezMain Card · Middleweight ES TK Smith vs KazamaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight MJ JM Johns vs MatsumotoMain Card · Bantamweight GF JS Fernandes vs StoliarenkoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight IL AH Lucindo vs HillMain Card · Women'S Strawweight AF CR Fili vs RodriguezMain Card · Featherweight EA CD Anders vs DuncanMain Card · Middleweight JE PC Edwards vs CachoeiraPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight UM GU Medić vs UrbinaPreliminary Card · Welterweight SE OO Erceg vs OsbourneMain Card · Bantamweight CB EM Brundage vs McConicoPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight JW RC Walker vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hernandez v Dolidze Middleweight Our fair value $1.36 best price $1.34 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Hernandez best price · region · EV vs fair $1.36
US BetMGM $1.31 -3%
UK Betway $1.30 -4%
EU 1xBet $1.34 -1%
AU Neds $1.32 -3%
Consensus42 picks · conf 63/99
Dolidze 11
31 Hernandez
HAMLB7 pick Dolidze
How it endsmethod calls · Hernandez · crowd line
KO/TKO 6 $6.78
Submission 10 $4.07
Decision 14 $2.91
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Dolidze 15-4 VS 15-2 Hernandez
6'2" height 6'0"
185 lb weight 186 lb
76" reach 75"
37 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.2 strikes landed / min 4.9
42% striking accuracy 63%
3.4 strikes absorbed / min 2.9
50% striking defence 46%
1.3 takedowns / 15 min 6.6
42% takedown accuracy 44%
33% takedown defence 65%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 2.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market74% vs 75%
Consensus31 of 42 analysts
Sharpest angleHernandez by Decision — 14 of 30 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MW Making the Walk picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE “go with Anthony Hernandez”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Anthony Hernandez “I got to give the edge to the cardio and durability of Anthony Hernandez to edge out the later rounds”
BM balls magee picks Anthony Hernandez “Anthony Hernandez is probably gonna win this.”
FN Fade the Noise picks Anthony Hernandez “I like Anthony Hernandez in this fight.” $1.32
NO notnicecole picks Anthony Hernandez “One of the craziest dudes in the EVENT_DETAILS, low key, actually. And a little fun fact about this man, Anthony Hernandez, we share the same birthday.”
NO notnicecole picks Roman Dolidze “This Saturday it shall be Roman Dolidze versus Anthony Hernandez.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE “I think that is the beginning of the end for Roman Dolidze. I think there's a couple of ways you could express an opinion in terms of betting on this fight... I'm probably gonna have an under one and a half ticket. Maybe an under two and a half ticket and then Anthony Hernandez three, four, five props.” $1.31
AN AntUFC picks Roman Dolidze “I'm going with Roman Dizzy to win this fight.”
MR Milo Reyes picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE “Anthony Hernandez definitely getting a W though.”
DS Dribbl Sport picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE “I think Fluffy wins by unanimous decision.” $1.36
HN Hidden Source News picks Anthony Hernandez “Our pick Anthony Anthony Hernandez to edge out the win.”
GM GLO MMA picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE “I'm going to go and pick Anthony Hernandez. Get this [__] done via the grappling. I think he's going to win based off the grappling... I'm going to go and pick Anthony Hernandez decision.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Dolidze15-4
L Duncan Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Hernandez Submission · R4 Aug '25
W Vettori Decision · R5 Mar '25
W Holland KO/TKO · R1 Oct '24
W Smith Decision · R3 Jun '24
Hernandez15-2
L Strickland KO/TKO · R3 Feb '26
W Dolidze Submission · R4 Aug '25
W Allen Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Pereira KO/TKO · R5 Oct '24
W Kopylov Submission · R2 Feb '24