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RD
AH
Dolidze vs HernandezMain Card · Middleweight
ES
TK
Smith vs KazamaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
MJ
JM
Johns vs MatsumotoMain Card · Bantamweight
GF
JS
Fernandes vs StoliarenkoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
IL
AH
Lucindo vs HillMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
AF
CR
Fili vs RodriguezMain Card · Featherweight
EA
CD
Anders vs DuncanMain Card · Middleweight
JE
PC
Edwards vs CachoeiraPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
UM
GU
Medić vs UrbinaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
SE
OO
Erceg vs OsbourneMain Card · Bantamweight
CB
EM
Brundage vs McConicoPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
JW
RC
Walker vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
AH
Dolidze vs HernandezMain Card · Middleweight
ES
TK
Smith vs KazamaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
MJ
JM
Johns vs MatsumotoMain Card · Bantamweight
GF
JS
Fernandes vs StoliarenkoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
IL
AH
Lucindo vs HillMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
AF
CR
Fili vs RodriguezMain Card · Featherweight
EA
CD
Anders vs DuncanMain Card · Middleweight
JE
PC
Edwards vs CachoeiraPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
UM
GU
Medić vs UrbinaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
SE
OO
Erceg vs OsbourneMain Card · Bantamweight
CB
EM
Brundage vs McConicoPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
JW
RC
Walker vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Smith
over Kazama · Bantamweight
Our fair value$1.10
pays above fair
$1.14
Best prices · Smith
FanDuel · US
$1.12
Betway · UK
$1.12
Coolbet · EU
$1.14
Neds · AU
$1.12
Where to back Smith
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.10
US
FanDuel
$1.12
+2%
FanDuel
$1.12
+2%
UK
Betway
$1.12
+2%
Betway
$1.12
+2%
EU
Coolbet
$1.14
+3%
Coolbet
$1.14
+3%
AU
Neds
$1.12
+2%
Neds
$1.12
+2%
How it endsmethod calls · Smith · crowd line
KO/TKO
30
$1.40
Submission
1
$41.93
Decision
7
$5.99
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Smith 9-1
VS
11-4 Kazama
5'9"
height
5'7"
136 lb
weight
136 lb
71"
reach
69"
23
age
29
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.0
strikes landed / min
1.7
41%
striking accuracy
53%
5.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.9
43%
striking defence
42%
5.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.7
45%
takedown accuracy
12%
100%
takedown defence
66%
1.0
submissions / 15 min
0.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market91% vs 88%
Consensus22 of 22 analysts
Sharpest angleSmith by KO/TKO — 30 of 38 method calls
Recommendation
Back Smith @ $1.14 · fair $1.10
+3% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Elijah Smith
“I got Elijah Smith first round TKO.”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Elijah Smith
“I got Elijah Smith first round TKO.”
BM
balls magee picks Elijah Smith
“I pick Elijah Smith on this one.”
balls magee picks Elijah Smith
“I pick Elijah Smith on this one.”
FM
FATALITY MMA picks Elijah Smith
“I'm taking Elijah Smith. I think he's very very technical.”
FATALITY MMA picks Elijah Smith
“I'm taking Elijah Smith. I think he's very very technical.”
YU
YungBenny picks Elijah Smith
“I'm going Elijah Smith by whatever way he wants.”
YungBenny picks Elijah Smith
“I'm going Elijah Smith by whatever way he wants.”
HN
Hidden Source News picks Elijah Smith
“Our pick, Elijah Smith.”
Hidden Source News picks Elijah Smith
“Our pick, Elijah Smith.”
GM
GLO MMA picks Elijah Smith VALUE
“I feel like Elijah Smith is going to win this fight just based off of the grappling... I'm picking Elijah Smith to get this [__] done by decision. It might be close, but, you know, >> you never [__] know. I'm picking Elijah Smith by decision.”
GLO MMA picks Elijah Smith VALUE
“I feel like Elijah Smith is going to win this fight just based off of the grappling... I'm picking Elijah Smith to get this [__] done by decision. It might be close, but, you know, >> you never [__] know. I'm picking Elijah Smith by decision.”
CP
Combat Talk Podcast picks Elijah Smith
“So, we're going to go Elijah Smith”
Combat Talk Podcast picks Elijah Smith
“So, we're going to go Elijah Smith”
IN
InTheGranite617 picks Elijah Smith VALUE
“Elijah Smith versus uh Toshiomi Kazama. Oh, there that's a good fight right there, actually.”
InTheGranite617 picks Elijah Smith VALUE
“Elijah Smith versus uh Toshiomi Kazama. Oh, there that's a good fight right there, actually.”
GM
GC MMA picks Elijah Smith
“I'll pick Elijah Smith, but I can't I'm there's no I'm not even putting him in a parlay because I just don't I'm not confident enough for in him winning this.”
$1.15
GC MMA picks Elijah Smith
“I'll pick Elijah Smith, but I can't I'm there's no I'm not even putting him in a parlay because I just don't I'm not confident enough for in him winning this.”
$1.15
LM
Luminary MMA picks Elijah Smith
“I'm me picking Smith here to get this done.”
Luminary MMA picks Elijah Smith
“I'm me picking Smith here to get this done.”
TS
The SM Show picks Elijah Smith
“I got Elijah Smith all day. I just feel like um Elijah Smith is wherever the fight goes, I feel like he's going to get a finish here first or second round. But Toshiomi Kazama, if he gets it to the ground, he's also dangerous. But in this fight, guys, I got Elijah Smith all day. I feel like he's going to get the finish or get the decision.”
The SM Show picks Elijah Smith
“I got Elijah Smith all day. I just feel like um Elijah Smith is wherever the fight goes, I feel like he's going to get a finish here first or second round. But Toshiomi Kazama, if he gets it to the ground, he's also dangerous. But in this fight, guys, I got Elijah Smith all day. I feel like he's going to get the finish or get the decision.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Smith9-1
W
Su-young
Mar '26
W
Kazama
Aug '25
W
Morales
Feb '25
Kazama11-4
L
Smith
Aug '25
W
Grigoriou
Aug '24
L
Armfield
Aug '23
L
Nakamura
Feb '23